Atlético Tucumán vs Aldosivi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.850.28
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
51
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
115
Passes
71% (285/402)55% (137/247)
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.850.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.86
Total shots
177
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
103
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1810
Passes
71% (285/402)55% (137/247)
Long passes
29% (22/77)24% (18/74)
Passes in final third
57% (86/151)38% (27/71)
Crosses
34% (13/38)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.10
Throw ins
3218
Fouls
1018
Tackles
63% (5/8)75% (12/16)
Duels won
6160
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.861.56
Goals prevented
-0.140.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Gino F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Franco N. , Ham E. (A),
  • 61', Franco N. , Lamendola N. ,
  • 65', Moya S. 🟨,
  • 68', Sosa A. 🟥,
  • 72', Vallejo L. 🟨,
  • 74', Palavecino A. , Guzman N. ,
  • 74', Cordero N. , Garcia M. ,
  • 78', Abeldano G. , Diaz L. ,
  • 78', Vallejo L. , Galvan I. ,
  • 78', Compagnucci G. , Segovia A. ,
  • 81', Suso G. 🟨,
  • 87', Diaz L. 🟨,
  • 90', Gonzalez R. , Rolon E. ,
  • 90+2', Diaz L. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Tucumán
49%
Draw
30.3%
Aldosivi
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 28.9% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 27.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.98)
    3.09
    (3.2)
    4.5
    (3.8)
    6.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 35.2%92%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Tucumán will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Atlético Tucumán is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Diaz L. (Hamstring Injury) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz R. (Knee Injury) Segovia A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    Latest results of Aldosivi
    02.03.2026 Banfield - Aldosivi 2:0
    22.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi 1:0
    17.02.2026 Aldosivi - San Miguel 3:0
    12.02.2026 Tigre - Aldosivi 1:0
    07.02.2026 Aldosivi - Rosario Central 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    2Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)