Result
2:1
23/01/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
- Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (139/217) | 68% (204/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (139/217) | 68% (204/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 53% (55/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez M. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Diaz L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Ruiz R. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 56', Villalba I. 🟨,
- 58', Ferrari G. 🟨,
- 69', Ham E. ↓, Ferreira Namandu C. D. ↑,
- 71', Costa L. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Osella A. ⚽,
- 81', Lamendola N. 🟨,
- 82', Rios G. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez M. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
- 89', Compagnucci G. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 89', Lamendola N. ↓, Abeldano G. ↑,
- 90', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
- 90+1', Arce A. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 90+3', Sartori F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Abeldano G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
54% | Draw
28.4% | Atlético Tucumán
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Tucumán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(2.2) |
3.33 ↑
(2.93) |
5.31 ↑
(3.64) |
5.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Independiente R (1.32) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Independiente R (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Independiente R (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Rivadavia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 0.
- Independiente R may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Independiente R will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Atlético Tucumán?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Atlético Tucumán has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
04.08.2024
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente Rivadavia
2:1
16.03.2024
Atlético Tucumán
-
Independiente Rivadavia
2:2
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
