Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Aldosivi
28.5%
Draw
31.5%
Independiente Rivadavia
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 31.1% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 31.3% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Independiente Rivadavia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (3.27)
    2.98
    (3.04)
    2.35
    (2.36)
    6.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Federation decision.
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Independiente R is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 1.
    • Aldosivi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Independiente R is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Independiente R may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente R could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia 3:1
    22.04.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi 1:0
    17.06.2023 Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi 2:1
    10.02.2023 Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia 1:2
    Latest results of Aldosivi
    25.04.2026 River Plate - Aldosivi 3:1
    19.04.2026 Aldosivi - Racing 1:1
    10.04.2026 Belgrano - Aldosivi 1:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)