Result
3:2
26/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/267) | 83% (482/580) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/267) | 83% (482/580) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 54% (41/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 76% (185/243) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 31% (10/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -1.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Melniks D. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Molotkovs A. ⚽,
- 29', Molotkovs A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Daskevics E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 1, Cinajevs D. ⚽,
- 54', Kragliks R. ↓, Clemente M. ↑,
- 63', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
- 65', Jackson Kenio ↓, Gerold J. ↑,
- 65', Monteiro E. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
- 66', Klavinskis R. ↓, Rekis K. ↑,
- 74', Nguena K. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Melniks D. ⚽, Daskevics E. (A),
- 87', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
- 90+1', Molotkovs A. ↓, Lauan ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Rekis K. ⚽, Kamara M. (A),
Chances of winning
Metta LU
23.5% | Draw
24.4% | Auda Riga
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metta LU's form might have worsened.Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auda Riga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metta LU, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auda Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Metta LU - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.94 ↑
(3.06) |
3.81 ↑
(3.6) |
1.78 ↓
(2.02) |
7.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1.
- Metta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Auda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Auda is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 10:43. (average 0.6:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Auda Riga?
Metta LU has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Metta LU?
Auda Riga has won 12 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metta LU - Auda Riga were as follows:
03.08.2025
Auda Riga
-
Metta LU
0:1
29.05.2025
Auda Riga
-
Metta LU
4:1
13.04.2025
Metta LU
-
Auda Riga
0:1
09.11.2024
Auda Riga
-
Metta LU
5:0
25.08.2024
Metta LU
-
Auda Riga
0:4
Latest results of Metta LU
Latest results of Auda Riga
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Grobina | Alberts JDFS | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
