Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (453/541) | 74% (245/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (453/541) | 74% (245/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (39/69) | 38% (28/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (147/196) | 57% (55/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Kragliks R. 🟨,
- 13', Hasek M. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Daskevics E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
- 74', Traore A. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Penkevics K. ⚽, Holoubek D. (A),
- 79', Kragliks R. ↓, Ouedraogo M. ↑,
- 81', Ullman O. 🟨,
- 85', Purs V. 🟨,
- 85', Kone K. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
- 89', Becers R. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 90', Penkevics K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
30.2% | Draw
26% | Auda Riga
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Jelgava - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.98) |
3.64 ↑
(3.32) |
2.11 ↓
(2.17) |
7.4%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jelgava - Auda Riga?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Jelgava will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Auda will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Jelgava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Auda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 0.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Auda Riga?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Jelgava?
Auda Riga has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Auda Riga were as follows:
05.07.2025
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
2:0
15.05.2025
Jelgava
-
Auda Riga
3:1
30.03.2025
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
2:0
21.10.2024
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
3:0
28.07.2024
Jelgava
-
Auda Riga
1:3
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 80:21 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | RFS | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 84:33 | 51 | 75 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 46 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 34 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Metta | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 31:68 | -37 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
