Result
1:3
27/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (396/461) | 84% (304/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 3.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (396/461) | 84% (304/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 59% (27/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (107/136) | 72% (78/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/15) | 39% (11/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.04 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Regza M. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
- 17', 0 - 2, Musah B. ⚽, Grimaldo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 2, Rubenis O. ⚽,
- 58', Traore A. ↓, Monteiro E. ↑,
- 69', Regza M. 🟨,
- 77', Tonisevs M. ↓, Birka E. ↑,
- 77', Grimaldo J. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 77', Kone I. ↓, Clemente M. ↑,
- 83', Diawara B. ↓, Novikovs J. ↑,
- 84', Kragliks R. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 3, Cernomordijs A. ⚽,
- 90', Regza M. ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
- 90', Iago Siqueira ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
- 90+6', Diop M. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auda Riga
14.2% | Draw
20.6% | Riga
65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Auda Riga - Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.54 ↑
(5.2) |
4.5 ↑
(4) |
1.43 ↓
(1.51) |
7.6%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Auda Riga - Riga?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Riga will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 1 - 25%). Riga (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 0.
- Auda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Riga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Auda has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Riga is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Auda won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 6:27. (average 0.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.5:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Riga?
Auda Riga has won 0 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against Auda Riga?
Riga has won 10 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Riga were as follows:
05.05.2025
Auda Riga
-
Riga
1:3
10.03.2025
Riga
-
Auda Riga
2:2
14.09.2024
Auda Riga
-
Riga
2:2
26.06.2024
Riga
-
Auda Riga
1:0
05.05.2024
Auda Riga
-
Riga
1:2
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
