Result
1:4
20/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 4
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (416/486) | 72% (235/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (416/486) | 72% (235/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (124/157) | 66% (95/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/36) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.90 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Sano K. ⚽,
- 16', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 18', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 2, Kohr D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Zesiger C. ↓, Schlotterbeck K. ↑,
- 46', Wolf M. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
- 46', Saad E. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
- 46', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Fellhauer R. ↑,
- 53', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 56', Nordin A. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 3, Nebel P. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 67', Gouweleeuw J. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 4, Sieb A. ⚽, Hanche-Olsen A. (A),
- 81', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 81', Hanche-Olsen A. ↓, Leitsch M. ↑,
- 81', Sieb A. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 4, Essende S. ⚽,
- 85', Caci A. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Augsburg
22.1% | Draw
27.4% | Mainz
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Augsburg's form might have worsened.Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Augsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mainz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Augsburg - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.05 ↑
(2.73) |
4.53 ↑
(3.4) |
2.28 ↓
(2.56) |
-17.5%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 23.2% – 66.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mainz (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1.
- In recent matches, Augsburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mainz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D.
(Thigh Injury)
Kade A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lee Jae-Sung
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Widmer S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Mainz?
Augsburg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Augsburg?
Mainz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Mainz were as follows:
08.02.2025
Mainz
-
Augsburg
0:0
20.09.2024
Augsburg
-
Mainz
2:3
17.02.2024
Mainz
-
Augsburg
1:0
23.09.2023
Augsburg
-
Mainz
2:1
11.02.2023
Mainz
-
Augsburg
3:1
Latest results of Augsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 23 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
