Mainz vs Augsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.310.70
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
66
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
64
Passes
75% (245/327)81% (425/527)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.310.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.67
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
17
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1012
Passes
75% (245/327)81% (425/527)
Long passes
45% (25/55)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
57% (60/105)58% (63/109)
Crosses
28% (5/18)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.58
Throw ins
2421
Fouls
1210
Tackles
47% (7/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
3028
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
0.671.96
Goals prevented
0.67-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Banks N. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
  • 57', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
  • 57', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
  • 57', Wolf M. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
  • 60', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
  • 63', Silas ↓, Becker S. ↑,
  • 79', Kade A. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 81', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 81', Fellhauer R. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
  • 81', Kohr D. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
  • 82', Widmer S. ↓, Mwene P. ↑,
  • 82', Amiri N. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
  • 88', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
  • 90+2', Becker S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mainz
48.5%		Draw
26.4%		Augsburg
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 26.2% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 26% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Mainz - Augsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.97 ↓
    (2)    		 3.59 ↓
    (3.62)    		 3.81 ↑
    (3.62)    		 4.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mainz - Augsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Augsburg will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 54.4% – 89.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.
    • Mainz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Augsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mainz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hollerbach B. (Injury) Kawasaki S. (Injury) Leitsch M. (Injury) Sieb A. (Inactive) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Thigh Injury) Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury) Ogundu U. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Augsburg were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    20.09.2024 Augsburg - Mainz 2:3
    17.02.2024 Mainz - Augsburg 1:0
    23.09.2023 Augsburg - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    31.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Köln - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Augsburg
    31.01.2026 Augsburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    18.01.2026 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:2 ✺
    15.01.2026 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg 4:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy