Mainz vs Augsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.310.70
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
66
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
64
Passes
75% (245/327)81% (425/527)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.310.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.67
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
17
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1012
Passes
75% (245/327)81% (425/527)
Long passes
45% (25/55)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
57% (60/105)58% (63/109)
Crosses
28% (5/18)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.58
Throw ins
2421
Fouls
1210
Tackles
47% (7/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
3028
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
0.671.96
Goals prevented
0.67-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Banks N. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
  • 57', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
  • 57', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
  • 57', Wolf M. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
  • 60', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
  • 63', Silas ↓, Becker S. ↑,
  • 79', Kade A. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 81', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 81', Fellhauer R. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
  • 81', Kohr D. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
  • 82', Widmer S. ↓, Mwene P. ↑,
  • 82', Amiri N. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
  • 88', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
  • 90+2', Becker S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mainz
48.5%		Draw
26.4%		Augsburg
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 26.2% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 26% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Mainz - Augsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.97 ↓
    (2)    		 3.59 ↓
    (3.62)    		 3.81 ↑
    (3.62)    		 4.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mainz - Augsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Augsburg will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 54.4% – 89.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.
    • Mainz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Augsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mainz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hollerbach B. (Injury) Kawasaki S. (Injury) Leitsch M. (Injury) Sieb A. (Inactive) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Thigh Injury) Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury) Ogundu U. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Augsburg were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    20.09.2024 Augsburg - Mainz 2:3
    17.02.2024 Mainz - Augsburg 1:0
    23.09.2023 Augsburg - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    31.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Köln - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Augsburg
    31.01.2026 Augsburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    18.01.2026 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:2 ✺
    15.01.2026 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg 4:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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