Mainz vs Augsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.310.70
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
66
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
64
Passes
75% (245/327)81% (425/527)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.310.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.67
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
17
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1012
Passes
75% (245/327)81% (425/527)
Long passes
45% (25/55)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
57% (60/105)58% (63/109)
Crosses
28% (5/18)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.58
Throw ins
2421
Fouls
1210
Tackles
47% (7/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
3028
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
0.671.96
Goals prevented
0.67-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Banks N. , Zesiger C. ,
  • 57', Gregoritsch M. , Gharbi I. ,
  • 57', Rexhbecaj E. , Jakic K. ,
  • 57', Wolf M. , Kade A. ,
  • 60', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
  • 63', Silas , Becker S. ,
  • 79', Kade A. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 81', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 81', Fellhauer R. , Rieder F. ,
  • 81', Kohr D. , Potulski K. ,
  • 82', Widmer S. , Mwene P. ,
  • 82', Amiri N. , Nebel P. ,
  • 88', Lee Jae-Sung , Maloney L. ,
  • 90+2', Becker S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mainz
48.5%
Draw
26.4%
Augsburg
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 26.2% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 26% 26%

Mainz - Augsburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.97
(2)
3.59
(3.62)
3.81
(3.62)
4.8%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Augsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Augsburg will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 54.4%89.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.
    • Mainz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Augsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mainz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hollerbach B. (Injury) Kawasaki S. (Injury) Leitsch M. (Injury) Sieb A. (Inactive) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Thigh Injury) Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury) Ogundu U. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Augsburg were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    20.09.2024 Augsburg - Mainz 2:3
    17.02.2024 Mainz - Augsburg 1:0
    23.09.2023 Augsburg - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    31.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2
    24.01.2026 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1
    17.01.2026 Köln - Mainz 2:1
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1
    10.01.2026 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:2
    Latest results of Augsburg
    31.01.2026 Augsburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    24.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 1:2
    18.01.2026 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:2
    15.01.2026 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich21173179:196054
    2Dortmund21146143:202348
    3Hoffenheim21133544:281642
    4RB Leipzig21123640:281239
    5Stuttgart21123638:281039
    6Bayer Leverkusen20113639:271236
    7Freiburg2186732:33-130
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2177741:46-528
    9Union Berlin2167826:34-825
    10FC Koln21651030:34-423
    11Hamburger SV2057821:29-822
    12B. Monchengladbach2157925:34-922
    13Augsburg21641124:39-1522
    14Mainz21561025:33-821
    15Wolfsburg21541229:44-1519
    16Werder Bremen21471022:39-1719
    17St. Pauli21451220:35-1517
    18Heidenheim21341419:47-2813

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga