Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/327) | 81% (425/527) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/327) | 81% (425/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 48% (31/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/105) | 58% (63/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Banks N. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
- 57', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
- 57', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
- 57', Wolf M. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
- 60', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
- 63', Silas ↓, Becker S. ↑,
- 79', Kade A. 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Amiri N. 🟨,
- 81', Fellhauer R. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
- 81', Kohr D. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
- 82', Widmer S. ↓, Mwene P. ↑,
- 82', Amiri N. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
- 88', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 90+2', Becker S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz
48.5% | Draw
26.4% | Augsburg
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1%)
Mainz - Augsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2) |
3.59 ↓
(3.62) |
3.81 ↑
(3.62) |
4.8%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Augsburg?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Augsburg will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 54.4% – 89.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mainz will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.
- Mainz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Augsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mainz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mainz: Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Injury)
Kawasaki S.
(Injury)
Leitsch M.
(Injury)
Sieb A.
(Inactive)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D.
(Thigh Injury)
Gouweleeuw J.
(Knee Injury)
Matsima C.
(Muscle Injury)
Ogundu U.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Augsburg?
Mainz has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Mainz?
Augsburg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Augsburg were as follows:
20.09.2025
Augsburg
-
Mainz
1:4
08.02.2025
Mainz
-
Augsburg
0:0
20.09.2024
Augsburg
-
Mainz
2:3
17.02.2024
Mainz
-
Augsburg
1:0
23.09.2023
Augsburg
-
Mainz
2:1
Latest results of Augsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
