Augsburg vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

WWK Arena (Augsburg).

Bundesliga - Round 4
Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.87	2.36
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
86% (416/486)	72% (235/328)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87	2.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.99	2.10
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
11	11
Shots outside the Box
7	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
27	27
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
86% (416/486)	72% (235/328)
Long passes
51% (21/41)	38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
79% (124/157)	66% (95/145)
Crosses
31% (11/36)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.66	0.90
Throw-ins
27	26
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
82% (14/17)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
46	54
Clearances
24	33
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
2.10	0.99
Goals prevented
-1.90	-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Sano K. ⚽,
16', Kohr D. 🟨,
18', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Kohr D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Zesiger C. ↓, Schlotterbeck K. ↑,
46', Wolf M. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
46', Saad E. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
46', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Fellhauer R. ↑,
53', Kohr D. 🟨,
56', Nordin A. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Nebel P. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
67', Gouweleeuw J. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Sieb A. ⚽, Hanche-Olsen A. (A),
81', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
81', Hanche-Olsen A. ↓, Leitsch M. ↑,
81', Sieb A. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
83', 1 - 4, Essende S. ⚽,
85', Caci A. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,

Chances of winning

Augsburg
22.1%

Draw
27.4%

Mainz
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.5%

36.5%

Augsburg - Mainz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (2.73)	4.53 ↑ (3.4)	2.28 ↓ (2.56)	-17.5% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Augsburg - Mainz?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 23.2% – 66.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mainz (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Augsburg (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Augsburg (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Augsburg (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Augsburg (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mainz (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1.
In recent matches, Augsburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mainz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Thigh Injury) Kade A. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hollerbach B. (Hamstring Injury) Lee Jae-Sung (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Mainz: Widmer S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Mainz?

Augsburg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Augsburg?

Mainz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Mainz were as follows:

08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0

20.09.2024 Augsburg - Mainz 2:3

17.02.2024 Mainz - Augsburg 1:0

23.09.2023 Augsburg - Mainz 2:1

11.02.2023 Mainz - Augsburg 3:1

Latest results of Augsburg

14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1 ✺

03.09.2025 Augsburg - Greuther Fürth 1:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3 ✺

17.08.2025 Hallescher - Augsburg 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Mainz

13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1 ✺

28.08.2025 Mainz - Rosenborg 4:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1 ✺

21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	18	16	2	0	71:14	57	50
2	Dortmund	18	11	6	1	35:17	18	39
3	Hoffenheim	17	10	3	4	35:21	14	33
4	Stuttgart	18	10	3	5	33:26	7	33
5	RB Leipzig	17	10	2	5	33:24	9	32
6	Bayer Leverkusen	17	9	2	6	34:25	9	29
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	38:39	-1	27
8	Freiburg	18	6	6	6	29:31	-2	24
9	Union Berlin	18	6	6	6	24:27	-3	24
10	FC Koln	18	5	5	8	27:30	-3	20
11	B. Monchengladbach	18	5	5	8	23:29	-6	20
12	Wolfsburg	18	5	4	9	27:38	-11	19
13	Werder Bremen	17	4	6	7	21:34	-13	18
14	Hamburger SV	17	4	5	8	17:27	-10	17
15	Augsburg	18	4	4	10	20:35	-15	16
16	Heidenheim	18	3	4	11	17:39	-22	13
17	Mainz	18	2	6	10	18:31	-13	12
18	St. Pauli	17	3	3	11	16:31	-15	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga