Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Galindo A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Morales A. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 46', Giron Escobar M. R. ↓, Roskopf M. ↑,
- 46', Paz V. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
- 58', Motta P. ↓, Joshuaky J. ↑,
- 69', Trigueno J. ↓, Perez Ochoa C. A. ↑,
- 69', de Leon F. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 78', Bajan D. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
- 78', Garcia K. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 89', Galindo A. ↓, Arevalo J. ↑,
- 89', Lovato N. ↓, Cardona L. ↑,
- 90+3', Roskopf M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aurora
46.1% | Draw
30.3% | Malacateco
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Aurora - Malacateco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.15) |
3.03 ↑
(2.83) |
3.9 ↑
(3.85) |
8.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Aurora has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Malacateco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Malacateco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Aurora will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Malacateco?
Aurora has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malacateco won against Aurora?
Malacateco has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Malacateco were as follows:
10.12.2025
Aurora
-
Malacateco
2:1
06.12.2025
Malacateco
-
Aurora
1:0
08.11.2025
Malacateco
-
Aurora
1:0
07.09.2025
Aurora
-
Malacateco
1:0
Latest results of Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coban Imperial | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Comunicaciones | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | Municipal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Achuapa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Aurora F.C | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Malacateco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Antigua | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Deportivo Mixco | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Mictlan | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Marquense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
