Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Vivas J. ↓, Motta P. ↑,
- 31', 0 - 1, Diaz A. ⚽,
- 44', Perez Ochoa C. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ochoa J. ↓, Andrade N. ↑,
- 46', Angulo Grueso B. A. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
- 56', Trigueno J. 🟨,
- 59', Sanchez L. 🟨,
- 60', Soriano B. 🟨,
- 64', Campos G. 🟨,
- 71', Palencia D. ↓, Roskopf M. ↑,
- 73', de Leon F. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. (Own goal),
- 76', 🟨,
- 84', Trigueno J. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Malacateco
60.1% | Draw
22.4% | Aurora
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Malacateco - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.51) |
4.07 ↑
(4.01) |
5.22 ↓
(5.27) |
9.6%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Malacateco - Aurora?
Users Predictions:
Malacateco will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Malacateco has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aurora is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Malacateco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Malacateco is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Malacateco won against Aurora?
Malacateco has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Malacateco?
Aurora has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malacateco - Aurora were as follows:
01.02.2026
Aurora
-
Malacateco
1:0
10.12.2025
Aurora
-
Malacateco
2:1
06.12.2025
Malacateco
-
Aurora
1:0
08.11.2025
Malacateco
-
Aurora
1:0
07.09.2025
Aurora
-
Malacateco
1:0
Latest results of Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Comunicaciones | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 32 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Antigua | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Municipal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Marquense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 25 |
| 10 | Aurora F.C | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | Deportivo Achuapa | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14:24 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
