Result
2:3
18/02/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21
Chances of winning
Aurrerá Ondarroa 17.5% | Draw 27.2% | Beasain 55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beasain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beasain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.15 ↓ (6.27) |
3.32 ↓ (3.9) |
1.64 ↑ (1.45) |
10.7% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Aurrerá Ondarroa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Beasain is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Beasain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Beasain is certain favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá Ondarroa won against Beasain?
Aurrerá Ondarroa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beasain won against Aurrerá Ondarroa?
Beasain has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain were as follows:
Latest results of Aurrerá Ondarroa
Latest results of Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation