Aurrerá Ondarroa vs Beasain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
18/02/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21

Chances of winning


Aurrerá Ondarroa
17.5%
Draw
27.2%
Beasain
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.4% 23.2% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1% 22.7% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beasain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beasain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.15
    (6.27)
    3.32
    (3.9)
    1.64
    (1.45)
    10.7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Aurrerá Ondarroa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Beasain is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Beasain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Beasain is certain favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
    Latest results of Aurrerá Ondarroa
    Latest results of Beasain
    10.02.2024 Beasain - Basconia 1:1
    03.02.2024 Añorga - Beasain 3:4
    27.01.2024 Beasain - Alavés C 4:1
    20.01.2024 Beasain - Deusto 1:2
    14.01.2024 Leioa - Beasain 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete33236468:284075
    2Leioa33187848:311761
    3Touring KE33169846:331357
    4Derio331671053:401355
    5Lagun Onak331661151:321954
    6Alaves C331581056:381853
    7Real Sociedad C331641346:38852
    8San Ignacio331571135:26952
    9Aurrera de Vitoria331561240:40051
    10UD Aretxabaleta331261553:60-742
    11Durango3310111231:35-441
    12Santurtzi339121231:41-1039
    13Pasaia33991526:43-1736
    14Anorga331141836:57-2134
    15Eibar C33891641:53-1233
    16Zamudio33961841:56-1533
    17Zarautz KE33861930:59-2930
    18SD Deusto33672025:47-2225

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation