DC United vs Austin FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS DC United - Austin FC
Result
2:4
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.982.06
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
87% (373/428)90% (471/523)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.982.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.01
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2628
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (373/428)90% (471/523)
Long passes
62% (18/29)45% (18/40)
Passes in final third
76% (85/112)79% (111/141)
Crosses
20% (4/20)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.42
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1012
Tackles
73% (16/22)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
2216
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.011.30
Goals prevented
-1.99-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Uzuni M. , Hines-Ike B. (A),
  • 42', Benteke C. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Wolff O. , Desler M. (A), Bukari O. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Servania B. , Boris Enow ,
  • 48', 1 - 2, Peglow , Gabriel Pirani (A),
  • 52', Wolff O. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Bukari O. , Pereira D. (A),
  • 66', Peltola M. , Hopkins J. ,
  • 66', Leal R. , Stroud J. ,
  • 72', Wolff O. , Taylor R. ,
  • 72', Rubio D. , Sabovic B. ,
  • 77', Bukari O. , Obrian J. ,
  • 82', Boris Enow 🟨,
  • 87', Peglow , Kijima H. ,
  • 87', Schnegg D. , Antley C. ,
  • 89', Desler M. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 89', Sanchez I. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 4, Taylor R. , Dubersarsky N. (A),
  • 90+6', 2 - 4, Benteke C. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


DC United
35.8%
Draw
28.2%
Austin FC
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 29% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for DC United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • DC United - Austin FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.66)
    3.36
    (3.4)
    2.64
    (2.63)
    5.5%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for DC United - Austin FC?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Austin will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • DC United has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Austin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, DC United has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Herrera A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury) Murrell J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, DC United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, DC United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Austin FC were as follows:
    04.10.2023 Austin FC - DC United 3:0
    Latest results of DC United
    19.07.2025 Columbus Crew - DC United 2:1
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    09.07.2025 Nashville SC - DC United 5:2
    05.07.2025 DC United - Atlanta United 0:0
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2