Result
2:4
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (373/428) | 90% (471/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (373/428) | 90% (471/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 45% (18/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (85/112) | 79% (111/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.99 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Uzuni M. ⚽, Hines-Ike B. (A),
- 42', Benteke C. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Wolff O. ⚽, Desler M. (A), Bukari O. (A2)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Servania B. ↓, Boris Enow ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Peglow ⚽, Gabriel Pirani (A),
- 52', Wolff O. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 3, Bukari O. ⚽, Pereira D. (A),
- 66', Peltola M. ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
- 66', Leal R. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
- 72', Wolff O. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 72', Rubio D. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
- 77', Bukari O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
- 82', Boris Enow 🟨,
- 87', Peglow ↓, Kijima H. ↑,
- 87', Schnegg D. ↓, Antley C. ↑,
- 89', Desler M. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
- 89', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Taylor R. ⚽, Dubersarsky N. (A),
- 90+6', 2 - 4, Benteke C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
DC United
35.8% | Draw
28.2% | Austin FC
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for DC United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
DC United - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.66) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
2.64 ↑
(2.63) |
5.5%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for DC United - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Austin will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- DC United has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Austin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, DC United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Herrera A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in DC United: MacNaughton L.
(Thigh Injury)
Murrell J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, DC United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
- Including home match between the teams, DC United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has DC United won against Austin FC?
DC United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against DC United?
Austin FC has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Austin FC were as follows:
04.10.2023
Austin FC
-
DC United
3:0
Latest results of DC United
Latest results of Austin FC
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
