Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
China | QQ Sports |
Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 0.17 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
15 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
87% (455/524) | 77% (227/295) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 0.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.41 | 0.82 |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
19 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
15 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
41 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
87% (455/524) | 77% (227/295) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (18/43) | 52% (34/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (139/182) | 61% (52/85) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (12/38) | 33% (1/3) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.66 | 0.33 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
89% (8/9) | 74% (14/19) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.82 | 2.41 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.18 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Wolff O. ⚽, Obrian J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Desler M. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
- 46', Wolff O. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
- 52', Dubersarsky N. 🟨,
- 62', Ricketts J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
- 63', Hines-Ike B. ↓, Cascante J. ↑,
- 63', Djordjevic M. ↓, Svatok O. ↑,
- 68', Kolmanic Z. 🟨,
- 72', Pereira D. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 73', Leroux B. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
- 73', Bouda O. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Skahan J. (A), Tsakiris N. (A2)
- 77', 2 - 1, Tsakiris N. ⚽,
- 85', Martinez J. ↓, Vitor Costa ↑,
- 85', Arango C. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
- 90+2', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes 55% | Draw 23% | Austin FC 22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (2.07) |
4.14 ↑ (3.82) |
4.2 ↑ (3.05) |
4.9% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Austin will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
- San Jose is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Austin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Austin has had a series of home games.
- In this match, San Jose is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Austin: Cascante J.
(International duty)
Svatok O.
(International duty)
Uzuni M.
(International duty)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 2.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Austin FC?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Austin FC has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC were as follows:
30.08.2025
Austin FC
-
San Jose Earthquakes
3:1
08.07.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
2:3
25.05.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
06.04.2024
Austin FC
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:3
21.10.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of Austin FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64:41 | 23 | 63 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 66:38 | 28 | 63 |
3 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 65:40 | 25 | 60 |
4 | Minnesota United ✔ | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:39 | 17 | 58 |
5 | Seattle Sounders ✔ | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58:48 | 10 | 55 |
6 | Austin FC | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 47 |
7 | FC Dallas | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:55 | -3 | 44 |
8 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 41:48 | -7 | 44 |
9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 41 |
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 60:63 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 41 |
12 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:56 | -13 | 37 |
13 | St. Louis City | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 44:58 | -14 | 32 |
14 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 46:66 | -20 | 30 |
15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 46:70 | -24 | 28 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 57:35 | 22 | 66 |
2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 65 |
3 | Inter Miami ✔ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 81:55 | 26 | 65 |
4 | Charlotte ✔ | 34 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 59 |
5 | New York City ✔ | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:44 | 6 | 56 |
6 | Nashville SC | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58:45 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 55:51 | 4 | 54 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:60 | 8 | 53 |
9 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 63:51 | 12 | 53 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 48:47 | 1 | 43 |
11 | New England Revolution | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:51 | -7 | 36 |
12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 32 |
13 | CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 34:60 | -26 | 28 |
14 | Atlanta Utd | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 38:63 | -25 | 28 |
15 | DC United | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 30:66 | -36 | 26 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)