Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 1.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
77% (221/286) | 88% (453/514) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 1.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.74 | 1.27 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
77% (221/286) | 88% (453/514) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (19/47) | 55% (29/53) |
Passes in final third |
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71% (75/106) | 80% (106/133) |
Crosses |
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0% (0/6) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.49 | 1.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (6/12) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 44 |
Clearances |
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21 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.27 | 1.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.27 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Bukari O. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Uzuni M. ⚽, Bukari O. (A),
- 36', Roberts R. ↓, Wilson Valdez B. R. ↑,
- 41', Vieira R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ricketts J. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Munie D. ⚽,
- 64', Uzuni M. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
- 64', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
- 67', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
- 68', Vieira R. ↓, Leroux B. ↑,
- 68', Judd P. ↓, Buck N. ↑,
- 71', Arango C. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. (Own goal),
- 84', Bukari O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
- 84', Sabovic B. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 86', Svatok O. 🟨,
- 89', Desler M. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Austin FC 47.1% | Draw 24.8% | San Jose Earthquakes 28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.83) |
3.81 ↓ (4.18) |
3.33 ↓ (3.6) |
5.9% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 2.4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Austin FC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Austin FC?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
08.07.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
2:3
25.05.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
06.04.2024
Austin FC
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:3
21.10.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
Latest results of Austin FC
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 57 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 57:32 | 25 | 56 |
3 | Minnesota United ✔ | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 55 |
4 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 53 |
5 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 52:45 | 7 | 45 |
6 | Austin FC | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 44 |
7 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
9 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
10 | FC Dallas | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 45:49 | -4 | 37 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 36 |
12 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 56:58 | -2 | 35 |
13 | St. Louis City | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | -16 | 28 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 45:63 | -18 | 27 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 37:61 | -24 | 21 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 63 |
2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 47:39 | 8 | 58 |
3 | New York City ✔ | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 49:41 | 8 | 56 |
4 | Inter Miami ✔ | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 65:47 | 18 | 56 |
5 | Charlotte ✔ | 32 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
6 | Nashville SC | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 55:39 | 16 | 53 |
7 | Orlando City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 58:43 | 15 | 51 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51:49 | 2 | 50 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 59:53 | 6 | 48 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 43 |
11 | New England Revolution | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
12 | Toronto FC | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 28 |
13 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33:56 | -23 | 27 |
14 | Atlanta Utd | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 27 |
15 | DC United | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 29:64 | -35 | 25 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)