Result
2:3 penalties
08/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | CBS Sports Golazo |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 2.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (393/488) | 77% (345/449) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 2.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.27 | 1.89 |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
23 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
49 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
28 | 27 |
Passes |
---|
81% (393/488) | 77% (345/449) |
Long passes |
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45% (23/51) | 34% (24/70) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (123/169) | 66% (98/148) |
Crosses |
---|
34% (13/38) | 23% (5/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.46 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
27 | 28 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 50% (12/24) |
Duels won |
---|
86 | 76 |
Clearances |
---|
48 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 17 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.89 | 2.27 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.11 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Arango C. ⚽, Bouda O. (A),
- 13', Hines-Ike B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Wolff O. 🟨,
- 57', Arango C. 🟨,
- 59', Leroux B. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
- 63', Daniel 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. (Pen),
- 66', Bukari O. ↓, Uzuni M. ↑,
- 66', Sabovic B. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 66', Gallagher J. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
- 72', Vazquez B. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
- 76', Floriani M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 76', Judd P. ↓, Espinoza C. ↑,
- 86', Pereira D. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 90+1', Svatok O. 🟨,
- 90+6', Desler M. 🟨,
- 90+12', Espinoza C. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 91', Desler M. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 95', Ricketts J. ↓, Lima N. ↑,
- 98', Dubersarsky N. 🟨,
- 99', 2 - 1, Kikanovic B. ⚽,
- 106', Bouda O. ↓, Rodrigues ↑,
- 115', 2 - 2, Uzuni M. (Pen),
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Arango C. (Pen),
- 1, Rubio D. (Pen),
- 2, Martinez J. (Pen),
- 2, Uzuni M. (Pen),
- 3, Jones D. (Pen),
- 3, Taylor R. (Pen),
- 4, Harkes I. (Pen),
- 4, Wolff O. (Pen),
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes 48.8% | Draw 25.4% | Austin FC 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (2.02) |
3.64 ↓ (3.65) |
3.58 ↑ (3.49) |
7.9% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
San Jose Earthquakes will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Austin FC?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Austin FC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC were as follows:
25.05.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
06.04.2024
Austin FC
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:3
21.10.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of Austin FC
Draw
20251/128-finals1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
3 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 2 : 3 |
4 | Richmond Kickers | Virginia Dream | 1 : 3 |
8 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
9 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
13 | Sporting Kansas City II | Menace | 1 : 2 |
14 | Flatirons | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
16 | Bye | San Antonio | |
17 | Hartford Athletic | New York Shockers | 3 : 0 |
18 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
20 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
24 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
25 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
29 | Detroit | Bye | |
31 | Motown | Westchester SC | |
32 | Cincinnati 2 | New York Pancyprian | 0 : 1 |
33 | Tacoma Defiance | Washington AC | 3 : 1 |
34 | Ballard | Spokane Velocity | 0 : 1 |
36 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
40 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
41 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
43 | Monterey Bay | International SF | 4 : 0 |
44 | Real Monarchs | El Farolito | 1 : 3 |
48 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
49 | Forward Madison | Duluth FC | 5 : 1 |
50 | Tulsa Athletic | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
52 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
56 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
57 | Austin FC | Bye | |
61 | New Mexico | Bye | |
63 | Ventura County | Laguna United | 7 : 0 |
64 | El Paso | Harpos | 5 : 1 |
65 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
69 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
71 | Inter Miami II | Miami United | 4 : 2 |
72 | Miami FC | Naples United | 4 : 1 |
73 | Columbus Crew 2 | NY Renegades | 4 : 1 |
74 | Lexington | Southern Indiana | 5 : 0 |
76 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
80 | Bye | New York City | |
81 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
83 | Asheville City | Greenville | 0 : 1 |
84 | Appalachian | One Knoxville | 0 : 3 |
88 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
89 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
93 | AV Alta | Ventura | 3 : 1 |
94 | Los Angeles FC II | Arizona FC | 7 : 1 |
96 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
97 | Sarasota Paradise | FC Naples | 1 : 2 |
98 | Little Rock Rangers | Birmingham | 1 : 0 |
100 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
104 | Bye | Orlando City | |
105 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
109 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
111 | Chattanooga | Corpus Christi FC | 1 : 0 |
112 | New Jersey Alliance | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
113 | Long Island | Charlotte Independ. | 2 : 3 |
114 | Carolina Core | Soda City | 4 : 2 |
116 | Bye | North Carolina | |
120 | Bye | Charlotte | |
121 | DC United | Bye | |
125 | Charleston | Bye | |
127 | Tormenta | Harbor City | 3 : 0 |
128 | Texoma | Foro | 1 : 2 |
1/64-finals1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
2 | Loudoun | Virginia Dream | 4 : 2 |
4 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
5 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
7 | Menace | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
8 | Bye | San Antonio | |
9 | Hartford Athletic | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 2 |
10 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
12 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
13 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
15 | Detroit | Bye | |
16 | Westchester SC | New York Pancyprian | 3 : 2 |
17 | Tacoma Defiance | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
18 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
20 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
21 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
22 | Monterey Bay | El Farolito | 1 : 2 |
24 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
25 | Forward Madison | FC Tulsa | 1 : 3 |
26 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
28 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
29 | Austin FC | Bye | |
31 | New Mexico | Bye | |
32 | Ventura County | El Paso | 0 : 3 |
33 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
35 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
36 | Inter Miami II | Miami FC | 0 : 1 |
37 | Columbus Crew 2 | Lexington | 3 : 0 |
38 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
40 | Bye | New York City | |
41 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
42 | Greenville | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
44 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
45 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
47 | AV Alta | Los Angeles FC II | 2 : 1 |
48 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
49 | FC Naples | Little Rock Rangers | 3 : 0 |
50 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
53 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
55 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
56 | Chattanooga | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 2 |
57 | Charlotte Independ. | Carolina Core | 2 : 1 |
58 | Bye | North Carolina | |
60 | Bye | Charlotte | |
61 | DC United | Bye | |
63 | Charleston | Bye | |
64 | Tormenta | Foro | 3 : 2 |
1/32-finals1 | Louisville City | Loudoun | 2 : 1 |
2 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
3 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
4 | Union Omaha | San Antonio | 1 : 0 |
5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Rhode Island | 1 : 2 |
6 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
7 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
8 | Detroit | Westchester SC | 3 : 1 |
9 | Tacoma Defiance | Oakland Roots | 2 : 1 |
10 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
11 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 1 : 0 |
12 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
13 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
14 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
15 | Austin FC | Bye | |
16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 2 : 3 |
17 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
18 | Indy Eleven | Miami FC | 1 : 0 |
19 | Columbus Crew 2 | Pittsburgh | 0 : 1 |
20 | Bye | New York City | |
21 | Colorado Springs | One Knoxville | 3 : 2 |
22 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
23 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
24 | AV Alta | Orange County SC | 3 : 2 |
25 | FC Naples | Tampa Bay | 1 : 2 |
26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
27 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
28 | Las Vegas Lights | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
29 | Charlotte Independ. | North Carolina | 1 : 3 |
30 | Bye | Charlotte | |
31 | DC United | Bye | |
32 | Charleston | Tormenta | 4 : 0 |
1/16-finals1 | Louisville City | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
2 | St. Louis City | Union Omaha | 2 : 0 |
3 | Rhode Island | New England Revolution | 1 : 2 |
4 | Chicago Fire | Detroit | 4 : 0 |
5 | Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers | 2 : 3 |
6 | Sacramento Republic | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 : 2 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 4 |
8 | Austin FC | El Paso | 3 : 2 |
9 | Philadelphia Union | Indy Eleven | 2 : 1 |
10 | Pittsburgh | New York City | 1 : 0 |
11 | Colorado Springs | New York Red Bulls | 1 : 4 |
12 | FC Dallas | AV Alta | 3 : 1 |
13 | Tampa Bay | Orlando City | 0 : 5 |
14 | Nashville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
15 | North Carolina | Charlotte | 1 : 4 |
16 | DC United | Charleston | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals1 | Minnesota United | St. Louis City | 3 : 2 |
2 | New England Revolution | Chicago Fire | 1 : 3 |
3 | Portland Timbers | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 : 1 |
4 | Houston Dynamo | Austin FC | 1 : 3 |
5 | Philadelphia Union | Pittsburgh | 4 : 1 |
6 | New York Red Bulls | FC Dallas | 3 : 2 |
7 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 2 : 3 |
8 | Charlotte | DC United | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals1 | Minnesota United | Chicago Fire | 3 : 1 |
2 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin FC | 2 : 3 |
3 | Philadelphia Union | New York Red Bulls | |
4 | Nashville SC | DC United | 5 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Minnesota United | Austin FC | |
2 | TBD #3 | Nashville SC | |
Final