Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.69
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
77% (221/286)88% (453/514)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.741.27
Total shots
818
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1020
Passes
77% (221/286)88% (453/514)
Long passes
40% (19/47)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
71% (75/106)80% (106/133)
Crosses
0% (0/6)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.34
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
2010
Tackles
50% (6/12)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3344
Clearances
2115
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.271.74
Goals prevented
0.27-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Bukari O. , Wolff O. (A),
  • 33', 2 - 0, Uzuni M. , Bukari O. (A),
  • 36', Roberts R. , Wilson Valdez B. R. ,
  • 41', Vieira R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ricketts J. , Bouda O. ,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Munie D. ,
  • 64', Uzuni M. , Rubio D. ,
  • 64', Dubersarsky N. , Sabovic B. ,
  • 67', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
  • 68', Vieira R. , Leroux B. ,
  • 68', Judd P. , Buck N. ,
  • 71', Arango C. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. (Own goal),
  • 84', Bukari O. , Obrian J. ,
  • 84', Sabovic B. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 86', Svatok O. 🟨,
  • 89', Desler M. , Kolmanic Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
47.1%
Draw
24.8%
San Jose Earthquakes
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 22.5% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 22.2% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.83)
    3.81
    (4.18)
    3.33
    (3.6)
    5.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.9:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 2.4:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    08.07.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC 2:3
    25.05.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC 1:1
    06.04.2024 Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes 4:3
    21.10.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC 1:1
    Latest results of Austin FC
    23.08.2025 CF Montréal - Austin FC 3:2
    16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1
    09.08.2025 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 2:2
    26.07.2025 DC United - Austin FC 2:4
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    10FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    11Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    12San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)