Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (455/524) | 77% (227/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (455/524) | 77% (227/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 52% (34/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (139/182) | 61% (52/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (12/38) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Wolff O. ⚽, Obrian J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Desler M. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
- 46', Wolff O. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
- 52', Dubersarsky N. 🟨,
- 62', Ricketts J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
- 63', Hines-Ike B. ↓, Cascante J. ↑,
- 63', Djordjevic M. ↓, Svatok O. ↑,
- 68', Kolmanic Z. 🟨,
- 72', Pereira D. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 73', Leroux B. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
- 73', Bouda O. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Skahan J. (A), Tsakiris N. (A2)
- 77', 2 - 1, Tsakiris N. ⚽,
- 85', Martinez J. ↓, Vitor Costa ↑,
- 85', Arango C. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
- 90+2', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes
55% | Draw
23% | Austin FC
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(2.07) |
4.14 ↑
(3.82) |
4.2 ↑
(3.05) |
4.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Austin will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - San Jose (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%). Austin (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
- San Jose is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Austin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Austin has had a series of home games.
- In this match, San Jose is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Austin: Cascante J.
(International duty)
Svatok O.
(International duty)
Uzuni M.
(International duty)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 2.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Austin FC?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Austin FC has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC were as follows:
30.08.2025
Austin FC
-
San Jose Earthquakes
3:1
08.07.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
2:3
25.05.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
06.04.2024
Austin FC
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:3
21.10.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Austin FC
1:1
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of Austin FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:0 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 15 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | San Diego FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | DC United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 3 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:23 | -18 | 3 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
