Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX).

MLS
Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.69
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
77% (221/286)	88% (453/514)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	1.27
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
3	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
19	24
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
10	20
Passes
77% (221/286)	88% (453/514)
Long passes
40% (19/47)	55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
71% (75/106)	80% (106/133)
Crosses
0% (0/6)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	1.34
Throw-ins
18	14
Fouls
20	10
Tackles
50% (6/12)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
33	44
Clearances
21	15
Interceptions
7	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
xGOT faced
1.27	1.74
Goals prevented
0.27	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Bukari O. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Uzuni M. ⚽, Bukari O. (A),
36', Roberts R. ↓, Wilson Valdez B. R. ↑,
41', Vieira R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ricketts J. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Munie D. ⚽,
64', Uzuni M. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
64', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
67', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
68', Vieira R. ↓, Leroux B. ↑,
68', Judd P. ↓, Buck N. ↑,
71', Arango C. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. (Own goal),
84', Bukari O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
84', Sabovic B. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
86', Svatok O. 🟨,
89', Desler M. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Austin FC
47.1%

Draw
24.8%

San Jose Earthquakes
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

22.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

22.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	3.81 ↓ (4.18)	3.33 ↓ (3.6)	5.9% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 9.6% – 70.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.9:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 2.4:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against San Jose Earthquakes?

Austin FC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Austin FC?

San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:

08.07.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC 2:3

25.05.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC 1:1

06.04.2024 Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes 4:3

21.10.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC 1:1

Latest results of Austin FC

23.08.2025 CF Montréal - Austin FC 3:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 2:2 ✺

26.07.2025 DC United - Austin FC 2:4 ✺

16.07.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC 1:2 ✺

Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes

23.08.2025 Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes 1:2 ✺

17.08.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes 3:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	29	17	5	7	54:34	20	56
2	Minnesota United	29	14	9	6	48:32	16	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	14	7	6	47:31	16	49
4	Seattle Sounders	27	12	8	7	48:38	10	44
5	Los Angeles FC	26	11	8	7	45:33	12	41
6	Portland Timbers	28	10	9	9	36:38	-2	39
7	Austin FC	27	10	8	9	29:33	-4	38
8	Colorado Rapids	29	10	6	13	38:48	-10	36
9	San Jose Earthquakes	29	9	8	12	53:51	2	35
10	Houston Dynamo	28	8	8	12	37:46	-9	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	4	14	28:36	-8	31
12	FC Dallas	27	7	9	11	39:47	-8	30
13	Sporting Kansas City	28	7	6	15	43:57	-14	27
14	St. Louis City	28	5	6	17	33:50	-17	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	4	7	16	32:55	-23	19

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	29	17	6	6	49:26	23	57
2	FC Cincinnati	29	16	4	9	42:36	6	52
3	Charlotte	29	16	2	11	48:40	8	50
4	Nashville SC	29	15	5	9	49:33	16	50
5	Orlando City	28	13	8	7	54:40	14	47
6	Inter Miami	25	13	7	5	54:40	14	46
7	Columbus Crew	28	12	10	6	43:39	4	46
8	New York City	27	13	5	9	38:32	6	44
9	New York Red Bulls	29	11	7	11	42:38	4	40
10	Chicago Fire	27	11	6	10	50:48	2	39
11	New England Revolution	28	8	7	13	36:40	-4	31
12	Atlanta Utd	28	5	11	12	32:49	-17	26
13	Toronto FC	28	5	10	13	28:35	-7	25
14	CF Montreal	29	5	9	15	29:51	-22	24
15	DC United	29	5	9	15	26:54	-28	24

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)