Result
2:1 penalties
20/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (422/468) | 87% (305/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (422/468) | 87% (305/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (21/30) | 54% (28/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (89/104) | 62% (43/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Dillon G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Anderson O. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ⚽,
- 63', Bonachera R. ↓, Ciesla D. ↑,
- 63', Abarca D. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
- 63', Danciutiu V. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ⚽,
- 74', 🟨,
- 75', Charpie W. ↓, Calderon G. ↑,
- 75', Brook L. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
- 75', Anderson O. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
- 75', Dillon G. ↓, Berrios D. ↑,
- 83', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Campaz B. ↑,
- 84', Mesalles R. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
- 87', Farkarlun B. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
- 90+2', Torres E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
- 1, Marquez O. (Pen),
- 2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
- 2, Silva T. (Pen),
- 3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
- 3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
- 4, Gomez A. (Pen),
- 4, Henry K. (Pen),
- 5, Grogan P. (Pen),
- 5, Barea J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Real Monarchs
50% | Draw
25.1% | Austin II
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Monarchs - Austin II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.17) |
3.73 ↑
(3.68) |
3.76 ↑
(2.79) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Real Monarchs - Austin II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Monarchs (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Real Monarchs will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
- Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Austin II?
Real Monarchs has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin II won against Real Monarchs?
Austin II has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Austin II were as follows:
05.07.2024
Austin II
-
Real Monarchs
2:0
02.06.2024
Real Monarchs
-
Austin II
4:0
30.06.2023
Real Monarchs
-
Austin II
0:0
02.06.2023
Austin II
-
Real Monarchs
3:0
Latest results of Real Monarchs
Latest results of Austin II
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
