Result
2:1 penalties
20/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.40 | 0.43 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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8 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 3 |
Passes |
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90% (422/468) | 87% (305/350) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.40 | 0.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.27 | 0.50 |
Total shots |
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8 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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10 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 19 |
Passes |
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90% (422/468) | 87% (305/350) |
Long passes |
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70% (21/30) | 54% (28/52) |
Passes in final third |
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86% (89/104) | 62% (43/69) |
Crosses |
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9% (1/11) | 13% (1/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.28 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 16 |
Fouls |
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19 | 9 |
Tackles |
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74% (14/19) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
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38 | 40 |
Clearances |
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19 | 13 |
Interceptions |
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2 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.50 | 0.27 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.50 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Dillon G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Anderson O. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ⚽,
- 63', Bonachera R. ↓, Ciesla D. ↑,
- 63', Abarca D. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
- 63', Danciutiu V. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ⚽,
- 74', 🟨,
- 75', Charpie W. ↓, Calderon G. ↑,
- 75', Brook L. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
- 75', Anderson O. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
- 75', Dillon G. ↓, Berrios D. ↑,
- 83', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Campaz B. ↑,
- 84', Mesalles R. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
- 87', Farkarlun B. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
- 90+2', Torres E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
- 1, Marquez O. (Pen),
- 2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
- 2, Silva T. (Pen),
- 3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
- 3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
- 4, Gomez A. (Pen),
- 4, Henry K. (Pen),
- 5, Grogan P. (Pen),
- 5, Barea J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Real Monarchs 50% | Draw 25.1% | Austin II 24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Monarchs - Austin II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↓ (2.17) |
3.73 ↑ (3.68) |
3.76 ↑ (2.79) |
6.9% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Real Monarchs - Austin II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Monarchs (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Real Monarchs will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
- Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Austin II?
Real Monarchs has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin II won against Real Monarchs?
Austin II has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Austin II were as follows:
05.07.2024
Austin II
-
Real Monarchs
2:0
02.06.2024
Real Monarchs
-
Austin II
4:0
30.06.2023
Real Monarchs
-
Austin II
0:0
02.06.2023
Austin II
-
Real Monarchs
3:0
Latest results of Real Monarchs
Latest results of Austin II
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 66:55 | 55 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 27 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 60:31 | 55 |
3 | New England Revolution II | 27 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 49:35 | 51 |
4 | Chicago Fire II | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 66:55 | 46 |
5 | Toronto FC II | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 33:40 | 38 |
6 | Cincinnati 2 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 36:40 | 38 |
7 | New York City II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 50:57 | 35 |
8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 37:61 | 21 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Chattanooga | 27 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 41:35 | 51 |
2 | Huntsville | 27 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 53:32 | 49 |
3 | Carolina Core | 27 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 42:41 | 39 |
4 | Atlanta United 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 43:42 | 37 |
5 | Orlando City B | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37:51 | 37 |
6 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 45:54 | 32 |
7 | Inter Miami II | 27 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 38:67 | 25 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Town FC | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 58:34 | 52 |
2 | Real Monarchs | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 51:41 | 48 |
3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 60:50 | 42 |
4 | Ventura County | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 48:49 | 41 |
5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 45:53 | 35 |
6 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 57:66 | 33 |
7 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 45:57 | 33 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 59:35 | 62 |
2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 27 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 53:40 | 48 |
3 | Minnesota 2 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 42:41 | 41 |
4 | North Texas | 27 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 42:54 | 40 |
5 | Austin FC II | 27 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 33:35 | 38 |
6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 39:42 | 37 |
7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 29:64 | 17 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 66:55 | 55 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II ✔ | 27 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 60:31 | 55 |
3 | New England Revolution II ✔ | 27 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 49:35 | 51 |
4 | Chattanooga ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 41:35 | 51 |
5 | Huntsville ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 53:32 | 49 |
6 | Chicago Fire II ✔ | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 66:55 | 46 |
7 | Carolina Core | 27 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 42:41 | 39 |
8 | Toronto FC II | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 33:40 | 38 |
9 | Cincinnati 2 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 36:40 | 38 |
10 | Atlanta United 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 43:42 | 37 |
11 | Orlando City B | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37:51 | 37 |
12 | New York City II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 50:57 | 35 |
13 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 45:54 | 32 |
14 | Inter Miami II | 27 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 38:67 | 25 |
15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 37:61 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 ✔ | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 59:35 | 62 |
2 | Town FC ✔ | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 58:34 | 52 |
3 | Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ | 27 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 53:40 | 48 |
4 | Real Monarchs ✔ | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 51:41 | 48 |
5 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔ | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 60:50 | 42 |
6 | Minnesota 2 ✔ | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 42:41 | 41 |
7 | Ventura County ✔ | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 48:49 | 41 |
8 | North Texas | 27 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 42:54 | 40 |
9 | Austin FC II | 27 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 33:35 | 38 |
10 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 39:42 | 37 |
11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 45:53 | 35 |
12 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 57:66 | 33 |
13 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 45:57 | 33 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 29:64 | 17 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)