Real Monarchs vs Austin II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
20/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.50
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
919
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Long passes
70% (21/30)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
86% (89/104)62% (43/69)
Crosses
9% (1/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.41
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
199
Tackles
74% (14/19)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1913
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.500.27
Goals prevented
-0.500.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Anderson O. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ,
  • 63', Bonachera R. , Ciesla D. ,
  • 63', Abarca D. , Burton M. ,
  • 63', Danciutiu V. , Grogan P. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 75', Charpie W. , Calderon G. ,
  • 75', Brook L. , Touray O. ,
  • 75', Anderson O. , Marquez O. ,
  • 75', Dillon G. , Berrios D. ,
  • 83', Hezarkhani A. , Campaz B. ,
  • 84', Mesalles R. , Silva T. ,
  • 87', Farkarlun B. , Avila C. ,
  • 90+2', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 1, Marquez O. (Pen),
  • 2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 2, Silva T. (Pen),
  • 3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Henry K. (Pen),
  • 5, Grogan P. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
50%
Draw
25.1%
Austin II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 24.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 25.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Monarchs - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.17)
    3.73
    (3.68)
    3.76
    (2.79)
    6.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Austin II were as follows:
    05.07.2024 Austin II - Real Monarchs 2:0
    02.06.2024 Real Monarchs - Austin II 4:0
    30.06.2023 Real Monarchs - Austin II 0:0
    02.06.2023 Austin II - Real Monarchs 3:0
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

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