Real Monarchs vs Austin II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Real Monarchs - Austin II
Result
2:1 penalties
20/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.50
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
919
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Long passes
70% (21/30)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
86% (89/104)62% (43/69)
Crosses
9% (1/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.41
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
199
Tackles
74% (14/19)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1913
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.500.27
Goals prevented
-0.500.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Anderson O. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ,
  • 63', Bonachera R. , Ciesla D. ,
  • 63', Abarca D. , Burton M. ,
  • 63', Danciutiu V. , Grogan P. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 75', Charpie W. , Calderon G. ,
  • 75', Brook L. , Touray O. ,
  • 75', Anderson O. , Marquez O. ,
  • 75', Dillon G. , Berrios D. ,
  • 83', Hezarkhani A. , Campaz B. ,
  • 84', Mesalles R. , Silva T. ,
  • 87', Farkarlun B. , Avila C. ,
  • 90+2', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 1, Marquez O. (Pen),
  • 2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 2, Silva T. (Pen),
  • 3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Henry K. (Pen),
  • 5, Grogan P. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
50%
Draw
25.1%
Austin II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 24.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 25.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Monarchs - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.17)
    3.73
    (3.68)
    3.76
    (2.79)
    6.9%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Austin II were as follows:
    05.07.2024 Austin II - Real Monarchs 2:0
    02.06.2024 Real Monarchs - Austin II 4:0
    30.06.2023 Real Monarchs - Austin II 0:0
    02.06.2023 Austin II - Real Monarchs 3:0
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2245131533:5420


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II246041435:6122


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC231242551:2946
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Ventura County241024845:4238
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4North Texas249411037:4836
    5Austin FC II24835829:3035
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II246041435:6122
    15Columbus Crew 2245131533:5420


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Town FC231242551:2946
    3Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Ventura County241024845:4238
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8North Texas249411037:4836
    9Austin FC II24835829:3035
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

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