Real Monarchs vs Austin II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
20/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.50
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
919
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Long passes
70% (21/30)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
86% (89/104)62% (43/69)
Crosses
9% (1/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.41
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
199
Tackles
74% (14/19)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1913
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.500.27
Goals prevented
-0.500.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Anderson O. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ,
  • 63', Bonachera R. , Ciesla D. ,
  • 63', Abarca D. , Burton M. ,
  • 63', Danciutiu V. , Grogan P. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 75', Charpie W. , Calderon G. ,
  • 75', Brook L. , Touray O. ,
  • 75', Anderson O. , Marquez O. ,
  • 75', Dillon G. , Berrios D. ,
  • 83', Hezarkhani A. , Campaz B. ,
  • 84', Mesalles R. , Silva T. ,
  • 87', Farkarlun B. , Avila C. ,
  • 90+2', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 1, Marquez O. (Pen),
  • 2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 2, Silva T. (Pen),
  • 3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Henry K. (Pen),
  • 5, Grogan P. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
50%
Draw
25.1%
Austin II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 24.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 25.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Monarchs - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.17)
    3.73
    (3.68)
    3.76
    (2.79)
    6.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Austin II were as follows:
    05.07.2024 Austin II - Real Monarchs 2:0
    02.06.2024 Real Monarchs - Austin II 4:0
    30.06.2023 Real Monarchs - Austin II 0:0
    02.06.2023 Austin II - Real Monarchs 3:0
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

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