Real Monarchs vs Austin II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
20/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.50
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
919
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Long passes
70% (21/30)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
86% (89/104)62% (43/69)
Crosses
9% (1/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.41
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
199
Tackles
74% (14/19)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1913
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.500.27
Goals prevented
-0.500.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Anderson O. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ,
  • 63', Bonachera R. , Ciesla D. ,
  • 63', Abarca D. , Burton M. ,
  • 63', Danciutiu V. , Grogan P. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 75', Charpie W. , Calderon G. ,
  • 75', Brook L. , Touray O. ,
  • 75', Anderson O. , Marquez O. ,
  • 75', Dillon G. , Berrios D. ,
  • 83', Hezarkhani A. , Campaz B. ,
  • 84', Mesalles R. , Silva T. ,
  • 87', Farkarlun B. , Avila C. ,
  • 90+2', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 1, Marquez O. (Pen),
  • 2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 2, Silva T. (Pen),
  • 3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Henry K. (Pen),
  • 5, Grogan P. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
50%
Draw
25.1%
Austin II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 24.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 25.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Monarchs - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.17)
    3.73
    (3.68)
    3.76
    (2.79)
    6.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Austin II were as follows:
    05.07.2024 Austin II - Real Monarchs 2:0
    02.06.2024 Real Monarchs - Austin II 4:0
    30.06.2023 Real Monarchs - Austin II 0:0
    02.06.2023 Austin II - Real Monarchs 3:0
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

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