Result
1:2
12/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (331/423) | 78% (315/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 3.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (331/423) | 78% (315/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 51% (35/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (49/78) | 65% (92/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 3.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.29 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.29 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Diaw B. 🟨,
- 19', Kingston P. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Barro D. ⚽, Burton M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diaw B. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
- 60', Gonzalez L. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
- 60', Pedder R. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
- 64', Danciutiu V. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
- 64', Burney L. 🟨,
- 66', Burney L. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
- 74', Moreno C. ↓, Ciesla D. ↑,
- 75', Burton M. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Khoury J. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A),
- 76', 1 - 2, Alastuey J. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 87', Yamada K. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
- 90+2', Khoury J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tacoma Defiance
43% | Draw
23.7% | Austin II
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacoma Defiance's performance.Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tacoma Defiance - Austin II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.72) |
3.88 ↑
(3.7) |
2.77 ↑
(2.2) |
8.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Austin II?
Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin II won against Tacoma Defiance?
Austin II has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Austin II were as follows:
15.03.2024
Austin II
-
Tacoma Defiance
1:3
08.10.2023
Tacoma Defiance
-
Austin II
0:1
25.06.2023
Tacoma Defiance
-
Austin II
1:0
07.04.2023
Austin II
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Latest results of Austin II
MLS Next Pro Table
2026Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Connecticut FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | New York City II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Toronto FC II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 8 | Cincinnati 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Huntsville | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 | Inter Miami II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Carolina Core | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Orlando City B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Chattanooga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ventura County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Real Monarchs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Minnesota 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | North Texas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 5 | Austin FC II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Huntsville | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Connecticut FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 7 | New England Revolution II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 8 | Atlanta United 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Inter Miami II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | New York City II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Carolina Core | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 14 | Orlando City B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Cincinnati 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Chattanooga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Minnesota 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 8 | Tacoma Defiance | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | North Texas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 12 | Austin FC II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
