Tacoma Defiance vs Austin II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

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Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	2.00
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
17	12
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
78% (331/423)	78% (315/402)
Yellow Cards
4	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	2.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.51	3.29
Total shots
17	12
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
20	35
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	16
Passes
78% (331/423)	78% (315/402)
Long passes
52% (31/60)	51% (35/69)
Passes in final third
63% (49/78)	65% (92/142)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	3.41
Throw-ins
26	27
Fouls
17	11
Tackles
76% (16/21)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
55	42
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
14	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
3.29	0.51
Goals prevented
1.29	-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Diaw B. 🟨,
19', Kingston P. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Barro D. ⚽, Burton M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diaw B. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
60', Gonzalez L. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
60', Pedder R. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
64', Danciutiu V. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
64', Burney L. 🟨,
66', Burney L. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
74', Moreno C. ↓, Ciesla D. ↑,
75', Burton M. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Khoury J. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A),
76', 1 - 2, Alastuey J. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
87', Yamada K. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
89', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
90+2', Khoury J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
43%

Draw
23.7%

Austin II
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

24.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

23.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacoma Defiance's performance.

Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacoma Defiance - Austin II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.72)	3.88 ↑ (3.7)	2.77 ↑ (2.2)	8.7% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Austin II?

Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Austin II won against Tacoma Defiance?

Austin II has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Austin II were as follows:

15.03.2024 Austin II - Tacoma Defiance 1:3

08.10.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Austin II 0:1

25.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Austin II 1:0

07.04.2023 Austin II - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

04.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 1:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 3:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Austin II

05.09.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 1:0 ✺

29.08.2025 Los Angeles II - Austin II 1:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Austin II - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Austin II 4:1 ✺

08.08.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	25	16	2	2	5	64:52	54
2	New England Revolution II	25	13	5	2	5	48:31	51
3	Philadelphia Union II	25	12	5	3	5	53:28	49
4	Chicago Fire II	25	12	4	2	7	62:45	46
5	Toronto FC II	25	10	1	4	10	32:38	36
6	New York City II	26	9	2	4	11	50:56	35
7	Cincinnati 2	24	5	7	0	12	27:35	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	25	5	1	3	16	34:57	20

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	24	11	4	3	6	39:35	44
2	Huntsville	25	11	4	2	8	48:31	43
3	Carolina Core	25	8	4	4	9	39:38	36
4	Orlando City B	25	9	3	2	11	34:47	35
5	Atlanta United 2	24	7	2	6	9	37:39	31
6	Crown Legacy	26	6	3	5	12	44:53	29
7	Inter Miami II	25	6	0	5	14	36:62	23

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	24	12	4	2	6	52:32	46
2	Real Monarchs	25	10	4	4	7	44:38	42
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	25	11	3	1	10	57:46	40
4	Ventura County	25	10	2	4	9	46:44	38
5	Los Angeles FC II	25	9	2	1	13	43:53	32
6	Portland Timbers 2	25	8	2	4	11	42:49	32
7	Tacoma Defiance	25	8	2	2	13	55:62	30

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	25	16	4	1	4	56:33	57
2	Colorado Rapids 2	25	13	1	4	7	48:37	45
3	Minnesota 2	25	10	2	4	9	39:38	38
4	Austin FC II	25	9	3	5	8	31:31	38
5	North Texas	25	9	4	2	10	38:49	37
6	Houston Dynamo 2	26	8	4	2	12	36:41	34
7	Sporting Kansas City II	25	3	2	3	17	26:60	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2 ✔	25	16	2	2	5	64:52	54
2	New England Revolution II ✔	25	13	5	2	5	48:31	51
3	Philadelphia Union II ✔	25	12	5	3	5	53:28	49
4	Chicago Fire II ✔	25	12	4	2	7	62:45	46
5	Chattanooga	24	11	4	3	6	39:35	44
6	Huntsville	25	11	4	2	8	48:31	43
7	Toronto FC II	25	10	1	4	10	32:38	36
8	Carolina Core	25	8	4	4	9	39:38	36
9	New York City II	26	9	2	4	11	50:56	35
10	Orlando City B	25	9	3	2	11	34:47	35
11	Atlanta United 2	24	7	2	6	9	37:39	31
12	Crown Legacy	26	6	3	5	12	44:53	29
13	Cincinnati 2	24	5	7	0	12	27:35	29
14	Inter Miami II	25	6	0	5	14	36:62	23
15	Columbus Crew 2	25	5	1	3	16	34:57	20

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2 ✔	25	16	4	1	4	56:33	57
2	Town FC ✔	24	12	4	2	6	52:32	46
3	Colorado Rapids 2 ✔	25	13	1	4	7	48:37	45
4	Real Monarchs	25	10	4	4	7	44:38	42
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	25	11	3	1	10	57:46	40
6	Ventura County	25	10	2	4	9	46:44	38
7	Minnesota 2	25	10	2	4	9	39:38	38
8	Austin FC II	25	9	3	5	8	31:31	38
9	North Texas	25	9	4	2	10	38:49	37
10	Houston Dynamo 2	26	8	4	2	12	36:41	34
11	Los Angeles FC II	25	9	2	1	13	43:53	32
12	Portland Timbers 2	25	8	2	4	11	42:49	32
13	Tacoma Defiance	25	8	2	2	13	55:62	30
14	Sporting Kansas City II	25	3	2	3	17	26:60	16

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Clinched Spots for Teams

New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)