The Town vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.92
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (429/496)81% (294/364)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.660.44
Total shots
912
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
169
Passes
86% (429/496)81% (294/364)
Long passes
53% (31/58)38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
71% (103/145)79% (81/103)
Crosses
19% (4/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.02
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
916
Tackles
80% (8/10)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3343
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.440.66
Goals prevented
0.440.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', Adimabua N. 🟥,
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Gaffney C. , Gomez S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Dodzi C. , Khoury J. ,
  • 51', Lopez A. 🟨,
  • 57', Ricketts J. 🟨,
  • 59', Rodriguez M. , Lynch R. ,
  • 59', Cowell C. , Donnery J. ,
  • 59', Fernandez N. , Mendoza E. ,
  • 63', Gaffney C. , Veillard E. ,
  • 71', Spivey K. , Rajagopal R. ,
  • 74', Carli E. , Pedder R. ,
  • 82', Ibarra R. , Baptista D. ,
  • 86', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Veillard E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


The Town
67%
Draw
18.1%
Tacoma Defiance
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 18.2% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 17.7% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • The Town - Tacoma Defiance Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.39)
    5.1
    (5)
    6.15
    (5.57)
    8.7%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    Preview Facts
    • The Town is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • The Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tacoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, The Town is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between The Town - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
    03.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 5:4
    14.03.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:1
    25.08.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    11.06.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    25.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:2
    Latest results of The Town
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)