Result
2:1
26/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Cup
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (327/413) | 80% (285/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (327/413) | 80% (285/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (34/76) | 56% (37/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 68% (96/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Gnaulati X. ⚽, Sojberg A. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Lay O. ⚽,
- 21', Alaribe E. 🟨,
- 25', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Robinson G. 🟨,
- 57', Gnaulati X. ↓, Fonguck W. ↑,
- 58', Apollon A. ↓, Aoumaich A. ↑,
- 58', Ibarra M. ↓, Robledo H. ↑,
- 59', Huerta A. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,
- 60', Rebollar A. 🟨,
- 66', Muir J. 🟨,
- 68', Malango M. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 69', Lyons M. ↓, Lara A. ↑,
- 69', Rebollar A. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
- 70', Alaribe E. ↓, Cerritos A. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Aoumaich A. ⚽, Ortiz C. (A),
- 84', Martinez W. ↓, Villafranco A. ↑,
- 90+2', Fonguck W. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+6', Villalobos J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AV Alta
36% | Draw
26.5% | Monterey Bay
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AV Alta's form might have worsened.Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monterey Bay's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AV Alta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monterey Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AV Alta - Monterey Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.1) |
3.49 ↑
(3.36) |
2.47 ↓
(3.1) |
8%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Alta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has AV Alta won against Monterey Bay?
AV Alta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against AV Alta?
Monterey Bay has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AV Alta - Monterey Bay were as follows:
Latest results of AV Alta
Latest results of Monterey Bay
