Result
1:2
03/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/422) | 69% (191/277) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/422) | 69% (191/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 37% (25/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (68/100) | 57% (74/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Belmar J. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Paul I. ⚽,
- 37', Paul I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, Webber J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 53', Webber J. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Kocevski J. ⚽,
- 61', Bruno Lapa ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 62', Blancas E. ↓, Lomtadze G. ↑,
- 63', Belmar J. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
- 71', Ross N. 🟨,
- 74', Glasgow O. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
- 78', Batista L. 🟨,
- 80', Cabral R. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
- 80', Sparks B. ↓, Colli G. ↑,
- 83', Malesevic L. ↓, Ritchie S. ↑,
- 84', Ross N. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
- 90+4', Kocevski J. ↓, Somersall R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
34.2% | Draw
26.2% | Tulsa
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Monterey Bay - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.78) |
3.5 ↓
(3.52) |
2.32 ↑
(2.31) |
9.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Tulsa?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tulsa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Tulsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Tulsa?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Monterey Bay?
Tulsa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Tulsa were as follows:
06.08.2025
Monterey Bay
-
Tulsa
2:3
16.07.2025
Tulsa
-
Monterey Bay
2:1
26.10.2024
Tulsa
-
Monterey Bay
2:1
13.07.2024
Monterey Bay
-
Tulsa
0:0
31.05.2023
Monterey Bay
-
Tulsa
0:0
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
