Result
1:2
25/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 23
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (341/413) | 68% (182/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (341/413) | 68% (182/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (73/106) | 46% (38/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/31) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Castrillon N. ↓, Akapo C. ↑,
- 17', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 21', Akapo C. 🟨,
- 45+2', Dener 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
- 46', Dener ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 46', Torres D. 🟨,
- 51', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
- 53', Joao Lopes 🟨,
- 54', Railan 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Rafael Tavares ⚽,
- 64', Luan Silva ↓, Diego Borges ↑,
- 66', Ze Ricardo ↓, Romildo Del Piage ↑,
- 67', Hygor ↓, Rigley ↑,
- 73', Rafael Tavares ↓, Linares N. ↑,
- 73', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
- 77', Emerson Negueba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 77', Alef Manga ↓, Guilherme Santos ↑,
- 78', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Thayllon ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
- 90+7', 1 - 2, Henrique Almeida ⚽,
- 90+9', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí
56.1% | Draw
26.4% | Amazonas
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-1%)
Avaí - Amazonas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.67) |
3.52 ↑
(3.5) |
5.27 ↓
(5.5) |
7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avaí - Amazonas?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avaí will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Amazonas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Avaí is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Avaí: Cleber
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson
(Inactive)
Dener
(Inactive)
Fernando Neto
(Inactive)
Gabriel Domingos
(Inactive)
Ramirez K.
(Yellow Cards)
Robertinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Gaspar
(Inactive)
JP
(Inactive)
Mario Sergio
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Thomas Luciano
(Inactive)
Torres J.
(Injury)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Amazonas?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Avaí?
Amazonas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Amazonas were as follows:
21.04.2025
Amazonas
-
Avaí
0:2
18.10.2024
Amazonas
-
Avaí
2:1
30.06.2024
Avaí
-
Amazonas
1:1
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
