Botafogo SP vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B
Result
0:0
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 38
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.24
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
139
Passes
87% (407/468)79% (320/403)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.42
Total shots
236
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
139
Touches in opposition box
304
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
87% (407/468)79% (320/403)
Long passes
58% (29/50)35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
78% (108/139)55% (35/64)
Crosses
26% (12/47)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.10
Throw-ins
1618
Fouls
1410
Tackles
60% (9/15)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
1026
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.421.73
Goals prevented
0.421.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Gabriel Barros 🟨,
  • 13', Miranda J. S. 🟨,
  • 23', Jamerson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Marquinho ↑,
  • 68', Gabriel Barros ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
  • 68', Dramisino A. ↓, Maciel L. ↑,
  • 69', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Lucas Eduardo ↑,
  • 70', Vilar 🟨,
  • 86', Miranda J. S. ↓, Juninho ↑,
  • 86', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
  • 90+3', Jamerson ↓, Nicolas Tadesco ↑,
  • 90+6', Wesley Dias ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
55.7%		Draw
26.6%		Avaí
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 25.5% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 23.9% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
    •

    Botafogo SP - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.67 ↑
    (1.62)    		 3.56 ↓
    (3.65)    		 5.45 ↓
    (5.51)    		 6.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Avaí?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Botafogo SP (2.32) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Avaí (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Botafogo SP (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Botafogo SP will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo SP will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Avaí (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0.
    • Botafogo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Avaí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Botafogo SP is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Inactive) Gustavo Bochecha (Knee Injury) Jean Victor (Yellow Cards) Jeferson (Injury) Victor Souza (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Andrey (Knee Injury) Emerson Negueba (Red Card) Gaspar (Red Card) Igor Bohn (Shoulder Injury) Leo Reis (Red Card) Quaresma (Ankle Injury) Railan (Red Card) Romildo Del Piage (Muscle Injury) Ze Ricardo (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Jefferson Nem (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Jonathan Costa (Injury) Marcos Vinicius (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Avaí were as follows:
    28.07.2025 Avaí - Botafogo SP 5:0
    18.11.2024 Botafogo SP - Avaí 1:3
    30.07.2024 Avaí - Botafogo SP 1:1
    07.10.2023 Botafogo SP - Avaí 0:1
    11.06.2023 Avaí - Botafogo SP 1:1
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    16.11.2025 Criciúma - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺
    10.11.2025 Botafogo SP - Amazonas 1:0 ✺
    03.11.2025 Volta Redonda - Botafogo SP 0:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP 1:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Botafogo SP - Cuiabá 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Avaí
    15.11.2025 Avaí - Remo 3:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Vila Nova - Avaí 2:2
    01.11.2025 Avaí - Athletic Club 2:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Paysandu - Avaí 1:2 ✺
    19.10.2025 Avaí - Criciúma 1:1 ✺
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avai00000:000
    2Ceara00000:000
    3Sport Recife00000:000
    4Goias00000:000
    5Nautico00000:000
    6CRB00000:000
    7Criciuma00000:000
    8Vila Nova FC00000:000
    9Juventude00000:000
    10Ponte Preta00000:000
    11Fortaleza00000:000
    12Atletico GO00000:000
    13America MG00000:000
    14Botafogo SP00000:000
    15Londrina00000:000
    16Sao Bernardo00000:000
    17Cuiaba00000:000
    18Operario-PR00000:000
    19Novorizontino00000:000
    20Athletic Club00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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