Avaí vs Botafogo SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Avaí - Botafogo SP
Result
5:0
28/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 19
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.49
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (405/478)83% (372/448)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.49
xG on target (xGOT)
3.230.57
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (405/478)83% (372/448)
Long passes
51% (36/70)53% (20/38)
Passes in final third
74% (106/143)75% (83/111)
Crosses
27% (3/11)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.47
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
1310
Tackles
42% (5/12)48% (10/21)
Duels won
4256
Clearances
2236
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.573.23
Goals prevented
0.57-1.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Emerson Negueba , JP (A),
  • 13', 2 - 0, JP , Ze Ricardo (A),
  • 22', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 39', 3 - 0, Emerson Negueba , Cleber (A),
  • 40', Jean Victor 🟨,
  • 45+2', 4 - 0, Cleber (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Marquinho , Wesley Dias ,
  • 46', Robinho , Jonathan Cafu ,
  • 60', JP , Jamerson ,
  • 60', Marcos Vinicius , Joao Vitor ,
  • 61', Cleber , Guilherme Santos ,
  • 68', Maciel L. , Dramisino A. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 75', Gabriel Bispo , Matheus Barbosa ,
  • 77', Hygor , Thayllon ,
  • 78', Emerson Negueba , Alef Manga ,
  • 87', 5 - 0, Alef Manga (Pen),
  • 89', Jefferson Nem , Matheus Regis ,

Chances of winning


Avaí
59.9%
Draw
25.8%
Botafogo SP
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 27.4% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 24.9% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Avaí - Botafogo SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.65)
    3.8
    (3.35)
    6.83
    (5.4)
    2.7%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Avaí - Botafogo SP?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Avaí is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Botafogo SP were as follows:
    18.11.2024 Botafogo SP - Avaí 1:3
    30.07.2024 Avaí - Botafogo SP 1:1
    07.10.2023 Botafogo SP - Avaí 0:1
    11.06.2023 Avaí - Botafogo SP 1:1
    Latest results of Avaí
    24.07.2025 Remo - Avaí 2:1
    19.07.2025 Avaí - Vila Nova 1:1
    14.07.2025 Athletic Club - Avaí 4:0
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17America MG24741325:32-725
    18Amazonas24591025:34-924
    19Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )