Result
5:0
28/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 19
- Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (405/478) | 83% (372/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (405/478) | 83% (372/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/70) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (106/143) | 75% (83/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 3.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -1.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Emerson Negueba ⚽, JP (A),
- 13', 2 - 0, JP ⚽, Ze Ricardo (A),
- 22', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 39', 3 - 0, Emerson Negueba ⚽, Cleber (A),
- 40', Jean Victor 🟨,
- 45+2', 4 - 0, Cleber (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marquinho ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
- 46', Robinho ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 60', JP ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 60', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 61', Cleber ↓, Guilherme Santos ↑,
- 68', Maciel L. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
- 72', 🟨,
- 75', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Matheus Barbosa ↑,
- 77', Hygor ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 78', Emerson Negueba ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 87', 5 - 0, Alef Manga (Pen),
- 89', Jefferson Nem ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
Chances of winning
Avaí
59.9% | Draw
25.8% | Botafogo SP
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Avaí - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.65) |
3.8 ↑
(3.35) |
6.83 ↑
(5.4) |
2.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Botafogo SP?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Avaí is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Botafogo SP?
Avaí has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Avaí?
Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Botafogo SP were as follows:
18.11.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Avaí
1:3
30.07.2024
Avaí
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
07.10.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Avaí
0:1
11.06.2023
Avaí
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
