Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (315/378) | 87% (430/493) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (315/378) | 87% (430/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 64% (25/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (40/57) | 77% (113/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Simic L. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Azzi P. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
- 66', Colombo L. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
- 66', Caprari G. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 72', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 72', Insigne R. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 72', Galazzi N. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
- 73', Mota D. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 81', Crespi V. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 81', Sounas D. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
- 85', Milani A. ↓, Cancellotti T. ↑,
- 86', Delli Carri F. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Russo R. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Avellino
32.7% | Draw
33.3% | Monza
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avellino - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↓
(3.18) |
3.21 ↓
(3.27) |
3.35 ↑
(2.27) |
-7.3%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avellino - Monza?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Monza will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Avellino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Monza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Avellino: Cagnano A.
(Red Card)
D'Andrea L.
(Muscle Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Palmiero L.
(Muscle Injury)
Pane P.
(Inactive)
Rigione M.
(Inactive)
Tutino G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Bakoune A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Colpani A.
(Inactive)
Izzo A.
(Inactive)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Monza: Forson O.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Monza?
Avellino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Avellino?
Monza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Monza were as follows:
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
