Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/437) | 73% (250/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.57 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 24 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 56 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/437) | 73% (250/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (127/165) | 53% (41/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (15/36) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 4.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 2.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Enrici P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, Sala M. (A),
- 60', Hernani ↓, Caso G. ↑,
- 60', Mota D. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
- 64', Patierno C. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
- 64', Palumbo M. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
- 70', Brorsson A. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
- 75', Colpani A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 75', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Cutrone P. ⚽,
- 79', Le Borgne A. 🟨,
- 80', Biasci T. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 80', Sala M. ↓, Cancellotti T. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Pessina M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Enrici P. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 90+6', Missori F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monza
63.9% | Draw
22.1% | Avellino
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Monza - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.57) |
4.2 ↑
(3.94) |
6.63 ↑
(5.57) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Avellino?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Monza (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Monza will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monza will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Monza (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- Monza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Avellino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Monza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Monza is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Maric M.
(Inactive)
Petagna A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Insigne R.
(Calf Injury)
Izzo A.
(Inactive)
Kumi J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Avellino?
Monza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Monza?
Avellino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Avellino were as follows:
12.09.2025
Avellino
-
Monza
2:1
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
