Result
2:0
27/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 27
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.38 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (437/501) | 75% (230/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.38 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (437/501) | 75% (230/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (140/176) | 63% (40/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Guiu B. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 54', Squizzato N. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
- 54', Tirelli M. ↓, Cuppone L. ↑,
- 60', Hernani ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
- 60', Colpani A. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Azzi P. ⚽, Caso G. (A),
- 67', Benedetti L. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
- 67', Mezzoni F. ↓, Di Mario S. ↑,
- 74', Petagna A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 75', Birindelli S. ↓, Ravanelli L. ↑,
- 76', Pessina M. 🟨,
- 85', Thiam D. 🟨,
- 86', Cutrone P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Pessina M. ⚽, Alvarez A. (A),
Chances of winning
Monza 61.4% | Draw 24% | Virtus Entella 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Monza - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 (1.53) |
3.89 ↑ (3.75) |
6.4 ↑ (6.3) |
6.7% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Monza - Virtus Entella?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Monza (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monza will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Monza has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Virtus Entella's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Inactive)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Maric M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Nichetti M.
(Inactive)
Tiritiello A.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Monza will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Monza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Virtus Entella?
Monza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Monza?
Virtus Entella has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Virtus Entella were as follows:
10.01.2026
Virtus Entella
-
Monza
1:0
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)