Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki).

J1 League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, ZhiBo8
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.76	1.94
Ball Possession
31%	69%
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
77% (186/243)	90% (496/549)
Yellow Cards
5	0
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.39	2.07
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
1	8
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
4	10
Shots outside the Box
4	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
15	26
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	17
Passes
77% (186/243)	90% (496/549)
Long passes
28% (13/46)	60% (15/25)
Passes in final third
61% (40/66)	87% (181/209)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.98
Throw-ins
15	12
Fouls
17	10
Tackles
43% (3/7)	88% (15/17)
Duels won
33	59
Clearances
13	16
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.07	0.39
Goals prevented
-1.93	-1.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Tachibanada K. ⚽, Marcinho (A),
15', Uremovic F. 🟥,
17', Ito T. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
22', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Nago S. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Erison ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, Erison (Own goal),
45+7', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
64', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
71', 2 - 3, Nago S. (Pen),
71', Sasaki A. 🟨,
72', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
72', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
74', Kamijima T. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
74', Shigemi M. ↓, Wellington ↑,
78', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
78', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
85', 2 - 4, Usui S. ⚽, Nago S. (A),
88', 2 - 5, Konno K. ⚽, Fujimoto K. (A),
90+1', Usui S. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
90+1', Konno K. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
90+5', Ienaga A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kawasaki Frontale
54.2%

Draw
25.8%

Avispa Fukuoka
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)	3.76 ↑ (3.52)	4.91 ↑ (4.05)	3.4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kawasaki Frontale will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kawasaki is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Marcinho (Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.7:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

26.02.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2

08.12.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 3:1

06.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1

20.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 4:2

08.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 4:2

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

20.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Sagamihara 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

06.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 3:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

21.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 3:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

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