Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka
Result
2:5
09/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.94
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
820
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
77% (186/243)90% (496/549)
Yellow Cards
50
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.392.07
Total shots
820
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1526
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
77% (186/243)90% (496/549)
Long passes
28% (13/46)60% (15/25)
Passes in final third
61% (40/66)87% (181/209)
Crosses
29% (2/7)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.98
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1710
Tackles
43% (3/7)88% (15/17)
Duels won
3359
Clearances
1316
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.070.39
Goals prevented
-1.93-1.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Tachibanada K. , Marcinho (A),
  • 15', Uremovic F. 🟥,
  • 17', Ito T. , Jesiel ,
  • 22', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Nago S. ,
  • 28', 2 - 1, Erison ,
  • 35', 2 - 2, Erison (Own goal),
  • 45+7', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 59', Iwasaki Y. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 64', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Nago S. (Pen),
  • 71', Sasaki A. 🟨,
  • 72', Erison , Romanic L. ,
  • 72', Yamamoto Y. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 74', Kamijima T. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 74', Shigemi M. , Wellington ,
  • 78', Wakizaka Y. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 78', Marcinho , Ienaga A. ,
  • 85', 2 - 4, Usui S. , Nago S. (A),
  • 88', 2 - 5, Konno K. , Fujimoto K. (A),
  • 90+1', Usui S. , Akino H. ,
  • 90+1', Konno K. , Ben Khalifa N. ,
  • 90+5', Ienaga A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
54.2%
Draw
25.8%
Avispa Fukuoka
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.8% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 27.4% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.9)
    3.76
    (3.52)
    4.91
    (4.05)
    3.4%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kawasaki Frontale will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kawasaki is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Marcinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2
    08.12.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 3:1
    06.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1
    20.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 4:2
    08.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 4:2
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

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