Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (197/270) | 82% (345/422) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (197/270) | 82% (345/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 42% (18/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/99) | 71% (106/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Gustavo ⚽, Samu (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Tomane ⚽, Adriel (A),
- 31', Thiago Balieiro 🟨,
- 37', Green A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Green A. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
- 56', Camara O. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
- 56', Nogueira G. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
- 65', Rivas D. 🟨,
- 65', Simao 🟨,
- 69', Rivas D. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 70', Gustavo ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 70', Nogueira M. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
- 82', Tomane ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 82', Pedro Lima ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
- 85', Akinsola T. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
- 90+1', Mendonca G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Devenish C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AVS
16.6% | Draw
24.2% | Vitoria Guimarães
59.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
AVS - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.61 ↑
(4.95) |
3.86 ↑
(3.85) |
1.59 ↓
(1.68) |
6.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AVS - Vitoria Guimarães?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vitoria Guimarães will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 9).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Guimarães is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in AVS: Baroan A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in AVS: Roni
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AVS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home match between the teams, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Vitoria Guimarães?
AVS has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against AVS?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
17.12.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
AVS
0:1
28.11.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
AVS
4:0
20.07.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
AVS
1:1
01.02.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
AVS
2:0
25.08.2024
AVS
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
