Result
3:0
22/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Garcia C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (204/284) | 73% (264/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (204/284) | 73% (264/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 39% (28/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/98) | 52% (47/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', Ataupillco J. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 8', 1 - 0, Graneros A. ⚽, Olmedo L. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Graneros A. ⚽, Gordillo A. (A),
- 43', Gordillo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lucumi J. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
- 46', Barrios K. ↓, Arakaki H. ↑,
- 46', Orue D. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 0, Larios Saavedra G. A. ⚽, Lupu H. (A),
- 63', Lupu H. ↓, Benincasa H. ↑,
- 63', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 63', Olmedo L. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
- 64', Ganoza M. 🟨,
- 70', Peral P. 🟥,
- 71', Gordillo A. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
- 76', Diaz R. 🟨,
- 79', Graneros A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 81', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético
67% | Draw
21.6% | Ayacucho
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Atlético that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.54) |
4.61 ↑
(3.8) |
8.86 ↑
(5) |
2.3%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3.
- Recent form of Alianza Atlético has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Alianza Atlético is the undisputed favorite.
- There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Ysique F.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Ayacucho?
Alianza Atlético has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Alianza Atlético?
Ayacucho has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho were as follows:
26.04.2025
Ayacucho
-
Alianza Atlético
0:2
19.09.2022
Ayacucho
-
Alianza Atlético
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
