AZ Alkmaar vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
07/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 3
chinaChinaQQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.272.30
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1111
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
43
Free Kicks
1215
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
20
Throw-ins
2115
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
1512
Yellow Cards
26
Total Passes
445503
Completed Passes
371408
Crosses Completed
24
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lahdo M. , Daal R. ,
  • 49', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
  • 51', Mijnans S. 🟨,
  • 54', Yuksek I. 🟨,
  • 57', Yuksek I. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 57', Saint-Maximin A. , Szymanski S. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Daal R. , Parrott T. (A),
  • 62', En Nesyri Y. (Pen),
  • 63', Rodrigo Becao 🟨,
  • 64', Addai J. , Smit K. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, En Nesyri Y. , Dzeko E. (A),
  • 72', Parrott T. , Meerdink M. ,
  • 72', de Wit M. , Kasius D. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Smit K. , Mijnans S. (A),
  • 79', Rodrigo Becao , Yandas M. ,
  • 81', Muldur M. , Tosun C. ,
  • 84', Fred 🟨,
  • 86', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Kasius D. , Smit K. (A),
  • 88', Maikuma S. , Goes W. ,
  • 90+2', Daal R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dzeko E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
31.4%
Draw
27.4%
Fenerbahçe
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 27% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 27.3% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AZ Alkmaar - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.55)
    3.5
    (3.45)
    2.33
    (2.55)
    4.1%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 13 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 30.8%69.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • AZ has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fenerbahçe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in AZ: Buurmeester Z. (Injury) Sadiq I. (Muscle Injury) Wolfe D. M. (Red Card) van Bommel R. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Belic K. (Injury) Martins Indi B. (Muscle Injury) Schouten L. (Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) Zeefuik L. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    03.11.2024 Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe 2:3
    27.10.2024 Fenerbahçe - Bodrumspor 2:0
    20.10.2024 Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 2:2
    03.10.2024 Twente - Fenerbahçe 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2