Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Baglan Dragons - Trefelin
Result
1:2
26/12/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru South - Round 18

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Legavec A. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Clarke J. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Randall T. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 88', 1 - 2, Clarke J. ,

Chances of winning


Baglan Dragons
47.3%
Draw
25%
Trefelin
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 26% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 25.6% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baglan Dragons's performance.
  • Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Baglan Dragons - Trefelin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.16)
    3.66
    (3.5)
    3.31
    (2.86)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 4).
    • Recent matches Baglan Dragons is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Trefelin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Baglan Dragons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Baglan Dragons won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Baglan Dragons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baglan Dragons - Trefelin were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Trefelin - Baglan Dragons 2:0
    24.02.2024 Trefelin - Baglan Dragons 1:1
    25.11.2023 Baglan Dragons - Trefelin 4:1
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Latest results of Trefelin
    13.12.2024 Trefelin - Newport City 4:3
    22.11.2024 Trefelin - Ammanford 0:1
    12.11.2024 Caerau Ely - Trefelin 2:0
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carmarthen Town11004:043
    2Cambrian United11004:043
    3Caerau Ely11004:133
    4Baglan Dragons11003:033
    5Aberystwyth11002:113
    6Trefelin11002:113
    7Ammanford11001:013
    8Newport City11001:013
    9Llantwit Major10011:2-10
    10Trethomas Bluebirds10011:2-10
    11Afan Lido10010:1-10
    12Cardiff Draconians10010:1-10
    13Ynyshir Albions10011:4-30
    14Pontypridd10010:3-30
    15Cwmbran Celtic10010:4-40
    16Treowen10010:4-40

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