Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Baglan Dragons - Trefelin
Result
1:1
06/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 6

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Williams O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', Davies J. 🟥,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Bowen L. (Pen),
  • 84', Jones M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Baglan Dragons
36.9%
Draw
26.7%
Trefelin
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 25.2% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 25.7% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Baglan Dragons - Trefelin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.53)
    3.67
    (3.57)
    2.7
    (2.3)
    1.8%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Trefelin has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baglan Dragons - Trefelin were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Baglan Dragons - Trefelin 1:2
    26.08.2024 Trefelin - Baglan Dragons 2:0
    24.02.2024 Trefelin - Baglan Dragons 1:1
    25.11.2023 Baglan Dragons - Trefelin 4:1
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Latest results of Trefelin
    25.08.2025 Trefelin - Llantwit Major 3:3
    22.08.2025 Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic 4:0
    16.08.2025 Treowen Stars - Trefelin 1:3
    09.08.2025 Trefelin - Newport City 0:2
    02.08.2025 Trefelin - Pen-y-Bont 1:6
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United971123:32022
    2Trefelin953120:81218
    3Caerau Ely852117:61117
    4Cardiff Draconians951313:8516
    5Carmarthen Town944110:5516
    6Ammanford94419:7216
    7Newport City843113:8515
    8Aberystwyth84228:6214
    9Trethomas Bluebirds924314:17-310
    10Baglan Dragons915310:1008
    11Pontypridd922513:17-48
    12Llantwit Major91449:13-47
    13Afan Lido92169:18-97
    14Treowen913511:22-116
    15Ynyshir Albions81257:20-135
    16Cwmbran Celtic90367:25-183

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