Result
3:0
17/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Bowen L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 0, Georgievsky K. ⚽,
- 79', 3 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Trefelin
75.6% | Draw
16.5% | Baglan Dragons
8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Trefelin - Baglan Dragons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.31) |
5.59 ↑
(5.13) |
11.53 ↑
(8.59) |
8.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Trefelin - Baglan Dragons?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Trefelin will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trefelin: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Trefelin (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH -2 - Baglan Dragons (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Trefelin (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Trefelin (votes: 3 - 60%). Baglan Dragons (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 12).
- Trefelin has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Baglan Dragons's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Trefelin is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trefelin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Trefelin won against Baglan Dragons?
Trefelin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baglan Dragons won against Trefelin?
Baglan Dragons has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trefelin - Baglan Dragons were as follows:
06.09.2025
Baglan Dragons
-
Trefelin
1:1
26.12.2024
Baglan Dragons
-
Trefelin
1:2
26.08.2024
Trefelin
-
Baglan Dragons
2:0
24.02.2024
Trefelin
-
Baglan Dragons
1:1
25.11.2023
Baglan Dragons
-
Trefelin
4:1
Latest results of Trefelin
Latest results of Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:10 | 40 | 57 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 56 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 40 |
| 5 | Aberystwyth | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Newport City | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 8 | Cardiff Draconians | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 32 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Treowen | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 18 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 20 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14:50 | -36 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
