Bahir Dar Kenema vs Adama City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
33
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Semu B. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Aitken B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 2 - 1, Tefera A. ,

Chances of winning


Bahir Dar Kenema
42.2%
Draw
31.6%
Adama City
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 31% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.7% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahir Dar Kenema that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.16)
    2.87
    (2.97)
    3.46
    (3.48)
    10.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1.
    • In recent matches, Bahir Dar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Adama City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bahir Dar might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City were as follows:
    25.11.2025 Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema 1:0
    02.06.2025 Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema 2:0
    27.09.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City 0:1
    21.06.2024 Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema 2:3
    03.02.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City 1:2
    Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema
    Latest results of Adama City
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna26139432:171548
    2Negele Arsi Ketema26119625:18742
    3Hawassa26118730:21941
    4Mechal261010633:211240
    5Fasil Kenema26912518:15339
    6Ethio Electric26911620:15538
    7Ethiopia Bunna25106925:25036
    8Bahir Dar Kenema26714519:18135
    9Ethiopia Nigd Bank26810835:32334
    10Adama City26712724:27-333
    11Hadiya Hossana26881022:27-532
    12Dire Dawa26711818:25-732
    13Welayta Dicha26613727:26131
    14Sheger Ketema26613723:24-131
    15St. George25871020:22-231
    16Ethiopian Insurance26611920:20029
    17Welwalo Adigrat26611919:26-729
    18Shire Endaselassie266101017:21-428
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta264111115:29-1423
    20Arba Menche264101218:31-1322

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