Result
1:3
12/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Mammadli K. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Kamta K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 2, Tagiyev E. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 3, Pablo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Difai Ağsu
19.8% | Draw
26.9% | Baku Sporting
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Difai Ağsu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+2%)
Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.57 ↑
(4.55) |
3.37 ↓
(3.45) |
1.7 ↑
(1.65) |
10.3%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Difai (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Baku Sporting will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Difai (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone I Liqa (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Difai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Sporting is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Difai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Difai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Difai Ağsu won against Baku Sporting?
Difai Ağsu has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baku Sporting won against Difai Ağsu?
Baku Sporting has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting were as follows:
13.09.2025
Baku Sporting
-
Difai Ağsu
2:2
08.05.2025
Baku Sporting
-
Difai Ağsu
1:2
06.03.2025
Difai Ağsu
-
Baku Sporting
0:1
11.12.2024
Baku Sporting
-
Difai Ağsu
0:2
Latest results of Difai Ağsu
Latest results of Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 43:13 | 30 | 45 |
| 2 | Baku Sporting | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Sabail | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 26:15 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Mingachevir | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30:17 | 13 | 33 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 23 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | Difai Agsu | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 25:45 | -20 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimal | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18:49 | -31 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
