Baku Sporting vs Şəfa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
16/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Baku Sporting
20.4%
Draw
28.1%
Şəfa
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 27.6% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 27.2% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baku Sporting's form might have worsened.
  • Şəfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Şəfa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baku Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Şəfa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Baku Sporting - Şəfa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.59
    (3.32)
    3.33
    (3.3)
    1.82
    (2.02)
    6.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Sporting have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Şəfa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Şəfa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Şəfa is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baku Sporting - Şəfa were as follows:
    05.02.2026 Şəfa - Baku Sporting 1:1
    17.10.2025 Baku Sporting - Şəfa 1:2
    Latest results of Baku Sporting
    Latest results of Şəfa
    09.04.2026 Şəfa - Səbail 2:1
    03.04.2026 Mingachevir - Şəfa 5:2
    18.03.2026 Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar 1:0
    11.03.2026 Shimal - Şəfa 0:2
    05.03.2026 Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar 2:1
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku ✔ 24158150:193153
    2Sabail24137442:172546
    3Mingachevir24136548:232545
    4Baku Sporting24119433:201342
    5Sahdag Qusar24115833:26738
    6MOIK Baku24851127:36-929
    7Zaqatala24741325:37-1225
    8Cebrayil24731436:49-1324
    9Shimal24441619:57-3816
    10Difai Agsu24351627:56-2914

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          I Liqa (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League