Baku Sporting vs Difai Ağsu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Seyidov R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 80', 1 - 1, Kamta K. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Baku Sporting
73.3%
Draw
18.6%
Difai Ağsu
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.9% 20.1% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 14.9% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baku Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baku Sporting's performance.
  • Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (-23.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baku Sporting that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Difai Ağsu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.34)
    4.58
    (4.45)
    10.55
    (6.9)
    17.2%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Sporting has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Difai has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu were as follows:
    12.03.2026 Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting 1:3
    13.09.2025 Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu 2:2
    08.05.2025 Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu 1:2
    06.03.2025 Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting 0:1
    11.12.2024 Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu 0:2
    Latest results of Baku Sporting
    23.04.2026 Shimal - Baku Sporting 1:0
    16.04.2026 Baku Sporting - Şəfa 0:0
    08.04.2026 Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku 3:1
    02.04.2026 Səbail - Baku Sporting 1:0
    Latest results of Difai Ağsu
    23.04.2026 Difai Ağsu - Səbail 0:4
    16.04.2026 Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu 2:1
    02.04.2026 Zagatala - Difai Ağsu 1:0
    19.03.2026 Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl 1:1
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku ✔ 24158150:193153
    2Sabail24137442:172546
    3Mingachevir24136548:232545
    4Baku Sporting24119433:201342
    5Sahdag Qusar24115833:26738
    6MOIK Baku24851127:36-929
    7Zaqatala24741325:37-1225
    8Cebrayil24731436:49-1324
    9Shimal24441619:57-3816
    10Difai Agsu24351627:56-2914

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