Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (174/286) | 76% (343/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (174/286) | 76% (343/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (64/122) | 54% (35/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Spertsyan E. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Belikov I. (A),
- 26', Petrov S. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 39', Saus V. 🟨,
- 45+3', Titkov N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pryakhin S. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
- 55', Titkov N. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
- 61', Paltsev V. 🟨,
- 63', Spertsyan E. 🟨,
- 70', Perrin G. ↓, Furtado G. ↑,
- 72', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 72', Mourid A. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
- 77', Petrov I. 🟨,
- 79', Victor Sa ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
- 79', Spertsyan E. ↓, Mukailov K. ↑,
- 90', Belikov I. ↓, Gassama N. ↑,
- 90+1', Beveev M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
29.9% | Draw
31.5% | Krasnodar
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↓
(3.4) |
3.06 ↓
(3.15) |
2.49 ↑
(2.18) |
4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar?
Users Predictions:
Krasnodar will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krasnodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2).
- Baltika is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Krasnodar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Krasnodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Krasnodar might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
Cordoba J.
(Red Card)
Diego Costa
(Yellow Cards)
Douglas Augusto
(Red Card)
Jubal Junior
(Muscle Injury)
Krivtsov N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Baltika: Petrov M.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Krasnodar?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Krasnodar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar were as follows:
24.04.2024
Krasnodar
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
3:2
21.10.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Krasnodar
2:2
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
