Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Referee: Kazartsev V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (231/376) | 65% (253/387) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (231/376) | 65% (253/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (46/106) | 36% (32/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (73/143) | 48% (45/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 88 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Belikov I. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Beveev M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Titkov N. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
- 47', Petrov I. 🟨,
- 69', Golenkov E. ↓, Kuchaev K. ↑,
- 78', Mironov A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', Gil B. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
- 79', Belikov I. ↓, Filin A. ↑,
- 80', Komarov I. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
- 88', Melekhin V. ↓, Prokhin D. ↑,
- 89', Manelov I. 🟨,
- 89', Manelov I. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
- 90', Petrov M. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
- 90+1', Beveev M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Ronaldo ⚽, Mironov A. (A),
Chances of winning
Rostov
35.1% | Draw
31.4% | Baltika Kaliningrad
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.35) |
3.07 ↓
(3.08) |
2.88 ↓
(2.99) |
3.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5).
- Rostov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Baltika has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Baltika has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Rostov has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Rostov?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
21.09.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Rostov
0:0
19.05.2024
Rostov
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:1
02.05.2024
Rostov
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
0:1
16.09.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Rostov
2:2
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
