Result
0:0
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Meshkov V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (147/238) | 77% (360/466) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (147/238) | 77% (360/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 45% (31/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (49/98) | 58% (45/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gondou L. ↓, Adamov A. ↑,
- 46', Mostovoy A. ↓, Gorshkov Y. ↑,
- 65', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 65', Pryakhin S. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
- 74', Glushenkov M. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 76', Gustavo Mantuan 🟨,
- 81', Filin A. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
- 82', Petrov M. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
- 90+1', Titkov N. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Beveev M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Pedro ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
19.9% | Draw
26.7% | Zenit
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zenit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.77 ↓
(5) |
3.56 ↓
(3.9) |
1.78 ↑
(1.61) |
5.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Zenit will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zenit: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1.
- Baltika has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zenit is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Zenit is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Zenit: Karavaev V.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Baltika: Mendel A.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Zenit?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Zenit has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit were as follows:
06.07.2025
Zenit
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:2
02.06.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Zenit
1:2
07.04.2024
Zenit
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:0
04.11.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Zenit
0:2
03.10.2023
Zenit
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:1
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
