Dukla Prague vs Baník Ostrava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Czech 1 Liga Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava
Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Chance Liga - Round 3
  • Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.51
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
71% (217/307)80% (369/464)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.89
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
229
Passes
71% (217/307)80% (369/464)
Long passes
31% (17/55)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
56% (65/116)69% (113/163)
Crosses
20% (2/10)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.73
Throw-ins
2430
Fouls
922
Tackles
50% (6/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
2519
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.890.35
Goals prevented
-0.11-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Pourzitidis M. , Cermak M. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Rigo T. ,
  • 44', Hapal P. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kornezos G. , Rusnak M. ,
  • 61', Jedlicka T. , Sebrle S. ,
  • 61', Fokam J. , Cisse N. ,
  • 66', Ambler M. 🟨,
  • 73', Rigo T. , Zlatohlavek T. ,
  • 77', Cermak M. , Hrubes J. ,
  • 77', Ambler M. , Sehovic Z. ,
  • 79', Buchta D. , Owusu D. ,
  • 87', Sin M. , Almasi L. ,
  • 89', Rigo T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Sehovic Z. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cisse N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Zitny M. , Tijani S. ,
  • 90+4', Svozil J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dukla Prague
28.7%
Draw
26.4%
Baník Ostrava
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 25% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 25.5% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (3.82)
    3.57
    (3.73)
    2.07
    (1.85)
    6.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 1.
    • Dukla Prague is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Baník Ostrava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Baník Ostrava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Dukla Prague has had a series of away games.
    • Baník Ostrava will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cernak M. (Health problems) Kozma D. (Injury) Mikus R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Frydek Ch. (Health problems) Kohut M. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Prague won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava 1:2
    09.11.2024 Baník Ostrava - Dukla Prague 6:0
    Latest results of Dukla Prague
    Latest results of Baník Ostrava
    Czech 1 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sparta Prague32107:437
    2Slavia Prague32105:237
    3Zlin32105:237
    4Sigma Olomouc32103:127
    5Karvina32014:226
    6Jablonec31204:225
    7Plzen21106:244
    8Liberec31116:604
    9Teplice21014:313
    10Bohemians31021:5-43
    11Dukla Prague30211:3-22
    12Mlada Boleslav20115:6-11
    13Ostrava20111:2-11
    14Slovacko30121:3-21
    15Hradec Kralove30123:6-31
    16FK Pardubice30033:10-70

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