Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 3
- Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 0.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
71% (217/307) | 80% (369/464) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 0.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.35 | 0.89 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
22 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
71% (217/307) | 80% (369/464) |
Long passes |
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31% (17/55) | 40% (25/62) |
Passes in final third |
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56% (65/116) | 69% (113/163) |
Crosses |
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20% (2/10) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 30 |
Fouls |
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9 | 22 |
Tackles |
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50% (6/12) | 63% (5/8) |
Duels won |
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45 | 39 |
Clearances |
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25 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.89 | 0.35 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.11 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Pourzitidis M. ⚽, Cermak M. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Rigo T. ⚽,
- 44', Hapal P. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kornezos G. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
- 61', Jedlicka T. ↓, Sebrle S. ↑,
- 61', Fokam J. ↓, Cisse N. ↑,
- 66', Ambler M. 🟨,
- 73', Rigo T. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 77', Cermak M. ↓, Hrubes J. ↑,
- 77', Ambler M. ↓, Sehovic Z. ↑,
- 79', Buchta D. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 87', Sin M. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
- 89', Rigo T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sehovic Z. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cisse N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zitny M. ↓, Tijani S. ↑,
- 90+4', Svozil J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dukla Prague 28.7% | Draw 26.4% | Baník Ostrava 44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.29 ↓ (3.82) |
3.57 ↓ (3.73) |
2.07 ↑ (1.85) |
6.6% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 1.
- Dukla Prague is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Baník Ostrava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Baník Ostrava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Dukla Prague has had a series of away games.
- Baník Ostrava will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cernak M.
(Health problems)
Kozma D.
(Injury)
Mikus R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Frydek Ch.
(Health problems)
Kohut M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Prague won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Baník Ostrava?
Dukla Prague has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Dukla Prague?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
12.04.2025
Dukla Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
1:2
09.11.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Dukla Prague
6:0
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sparta Prague | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Zlin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Sigma Olomouc | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Karvina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Jablonec | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
7 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
8 | Liberec | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Teplice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Bohemians | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
11 | Dukla Prague | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
12 | Mlada Boleslav | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Ostrava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Slovacko | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Hradec Kralove | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
16 | FK Pardubice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )