Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 3
- Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (217/307) | 80% (369/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (217/307) | 80% (369/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (17/55) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (65/116) | 69% (113/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Pourzitidis M. ⚽, Cermak M. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Rigo T. ⚽,
- 44', Hapal P. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kornezos G. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
- 61', Jedlicka T. ↓, Sebrle S. ↑,
- 61', Fokam J. ↓, Cisse N. ↑,
- 66', Ambler M. 🟨,
- 73', Rigo T. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 77', Cermak M. ↓, Hrubes J. ↑,
- 77', Ambler M. ↓, Sehovic Z. ↑,
- 79', Buchta D. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 87', Sin M. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
- 89', Rigo T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sehovic Z. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cisse N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zitny M. ↓, Tijani S. ↑,
- 90+4', Svozil J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dukla Prague
28.7% | Draw
26.4% | Baník Ostrava
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↓
(3.82) |
3.57 ↓
(3.73) |
2.07 ↑
(1.85) |
6.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 1.
- Dukla Prague is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Baník Ostrava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Baník Ostrava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Dukla Prague has had a series of away games.
- Baník Ostrava will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cernak M.
(Health problems)
Kozma D.
(Injury)
Mikus R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Frydek Ch.
(Health problems)
Kohut M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Prague won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Baník Ostrava?
Dukla Prague has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Dukla Prague?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
12.04.2025
Dukla Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
1:2
09.11.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Dukla Prague
6:0
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jablonec | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Plzen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Zlin | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Karvina | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Liberec | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
