Result
1:4
13/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 19
- Referee: Radina M. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (380/459) | 69% (195/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (380/459) | 69% (195/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (42/74) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (136/176) | 61% (58/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (5/38) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 59 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.83 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Noslin J. ⚽, Mahuta R. (A),
- 9', Mahuta R. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 1, Kricfalusi O. ⚽, Havran M. (A),
- 27', 1 - 2, Tanko A. ⚽, Smekal D. (A),
- 32', Simek S. 🟨,
- 36', Konecny M. 🟨,
- 45+5', Tanko A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pojezny K. ↓, Munksgaard A. ↑,
- 46', Chalus M. ↓, Tiehi C. ↑,
- 46', Plavsic S. ↓, Buchta D. ↑,
- 46', Smekal D. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Vecheta F. ⚽, Mahuta R. (A),
- 62', Solil T. ↓, Reznicek J. ↑,
- 63', Reznicek J. 🟨,
- 64', Boula J. 🟨,
- 72', Havran M. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 72', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
- 79', Botos G. ↓, Samuel V. ↑,
- 79', Tanko A. ↓, Sychra V. ↑,
- 85', Vecheta F. 🟨,
- 89', Mahuta R. ↓, Misek S. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Vecheta F. ⚽, Sychra V. (A),
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
52.1% | Draw
25.6% | Pardubice
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baník Ostrava that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pardubice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Baník Ostrava - Pardubice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.95) |
3.68 ↑
(3.59) |
4.15 ↑
(3.59) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Pardubice?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Pardubice will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Pardubice (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Baník Ostrava will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 4 - 80%). Pardubice (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Baník Ostrava is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Almasi L.
(Hernia)
Holzer D.
(Knee Injury)
Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Darmovzal D.
(Injury)
Krobot L.
(Yellow Cards)
Patrak V.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pardubice: Teah D.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Pardubice?
Baník Ostrava has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Baník Ostrava?
Pardubice has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Pardubice were as follows:
05.11.2025
Pardubice
-
Baník Ostrava
3:4
01.10.2025
Pardubice
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
29.03.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Pardubice
5:2
05.03.2025
Pardubice
-
Baník Ostrava
0:2
26.10.2024
Pardubice
-
Baník Ostrava
2:3
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
