Result
3:1
29/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 17
- Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (234/310) | 79% (285/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (234/310) | 79% (285/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (39/76) | 58% (36/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (51/80) | 58% (49/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Frydrych M. 🟨,
- 31', Cermak M. ↓, Kadak J. ↑,
- 33', Hunal E. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Kricfalusi O. ⚽, Planka D. (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, Kohut M. ⚽, Boula J. (A),
- 45+1', Kricfalusi O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Kohut M. 🟨,
- 54', Kohut M. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, Boula J. ⚽, Buchta D. (A),
- 68', Kricfalusi O. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 70', Cernak M. ↓, Isife S. ↑,
- 70', Pourzitidis M. ↓, Kroupa M. ↑,
- 70', Sehovic Z. ↓, Velasquez D. ↑,
- 75', Gaszczyk P. ↓, Ambler M. ↑,
- 83', Buchta D. ↓, Frydek Ch. ↑,
- 83', Pira J. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 1, Kroupa M. ⚽, Isife S. (A),
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
59.2% | Draw
24.3% | Dukla Prague
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baník Ostrava's performance.Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Baník Ostrava - Dukla Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.76) |
3.87 ↑
(3.46) |
5.73 ↑
(4.59) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Dukla Prague?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Dukla Prague will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Baník Ostrava will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 3.
- Recent form of Baník Ostrava has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dukla Prague has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Baník Ostrava is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Almasi L.
(Hernia)
Holzer D.
(Knee Injury)
Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Diallo B.
(Injury)
Emeka C.
(Injury)
Mikus R.
(Knee Injury)
Peterka J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Havran M.
(Injury)
Plavsic S.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Dukla Prague: Hasek D.
(Injury)
Kadak J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Dukla Prague?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Baník Ostrava?
Dukla Prague has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Dukla Prague were as follows:
03.08.2025
Dukla Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
1:1
12.04.2025
Dukla Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
1:2
09.11.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Dukla Prague
6:0
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
