Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 21
- Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (213/297) | 78% (342/436) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (213/297) | 78% (342/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (46/81) | 75% (91/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 11% (3/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 77% (20/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rusnak M. ↓, Bewene A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Boula J. ⚽, Jurecka V. (A),
- 58', 2 - 0, Gning A. ⚽, Kohut M. (A),
- 59', Slavicek F. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
- 64', Chalus M. 🟨,
- 66', Kohut M. 🟨,
- 66', Sturm D. 🟨,
- 69', Bewene A. 🟨,
- 70', Gning A. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
- 74', Kliment J. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
- 81', Kohut M. ↓, Havran M. ↑,
- 81', Holzer D. ↓, Kante H. ↑,
- 82', Planka D. 🟨,
- 84', Pojezny K. 🟨,
- 87', Ghali A. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
- 87', Rusek A. ↓, Grgic D. ↑,
- 87', Sturm D. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
- 89', Planka D. ↓, Frydrych M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
37.4% | Draw
29% | Sigma Olomouc
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.28) |
3.22 ↑
(3.21) |
2.8 ↓
(3.12) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sigma will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 9.6% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Sigma (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sigma (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Baník Ostrava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Sigma has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Almasi L.
(Hernia)
Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
Sinyavskiy V.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J.
(Knee Injury)
Dolznikov A.
(Injury)
Leibl M.
(Muscle Injury)
Mikulenka M.
(Muscle Injury)
Muritala Y.
(Injury)
Tkac D.
(Muscle Injury)
Urica F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Musak A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sigma: Kral J.
(Knee Injury)
Krivak F.
(Calf Injury)
Sejk V.
(Health problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Sigma Olomouc?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Baník Ostrava?
Sigma Olomouc has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc were as follows:
31.08.2025
Sigma Olomouc
-
Baník Ostrava
1:0
03.05.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sigma Olomouc
0:0
22.04.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sigma Olomouc
2:3
09.02.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sigma Olomouc
1:0
01.09.2024
Sigma Olomouc
-
Baník Ostrava
2:2
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
