Result
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Barakaldo
56.5% | Draw
24.9% | Arenteiro
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barakaldo's form might have worsened.Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Barakaldo - Arenteiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.51) |
3.66 ↓
(3.82) |
4.97 ↓
(6.62) |
9.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Barakaldo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arenteiro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Arenteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Barakaldo is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Arenteiro?
Barakaldo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenteiro won against Barakaldo?
Arenteiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Arenteiro were as follows:
05.10.2025
Arenteiro
-
Barakaldo
1:1
19.02.2025
Arenteiro
-
Barakaldo
1:1
05.10.2024
Barakaldo
-
Arenteiro
2:0
Latest results of Barakaldo
Latest results of Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
