Result
2:1
27/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Fati L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 68', Arana M. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 76', Mandiang S. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
- 76', de Leon J. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 76', Molina E. ↓, Sabin ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Galarza A. ⚽,
- 84', 2 - 1, Sabin ⚽,
- 86', Martin R. ↓, Gines A. ↑,
- 86', Perez E. 🟨,
- 88', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
- 88', Serrano M. ↓, Rezola M. ↑,
- 88', Perea C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 90', Pena A. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
- 90+7', Rezola M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barakaldo
49.6% | Draw
27.2% | Real Madrid Castilla
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.85) |
3.34 ↓
(3.45) |
3.98 ↓
(4.04) |
8.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barakaldo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Barakaldo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 0.
- Barakaldo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Real Madrid Castilla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Barakaldo is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Barakaldo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Barakaldo?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
29.11.2025
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Barakaldo
2:1
Latest results of Barakaldo
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
