Arenteiro vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
5	4
Corner kicks
5	3
Yellow cards
2	1
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
4	3
Corner kicks
5	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Rivas M. ⚽, Aguado D. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Mingo V. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Chuca ↓, Ramon N. ↑,
65', Fati L. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽,
68', Fortuny P. ↓, Ciria A. ↑,
75', 🟨,
78', Sanchez J. ↓, Ferreiro D. ↑,
78', Ramon N. ↓, Alpha M. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Martin R. ⚽,
90', Lopez A. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
90', Bastida A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
90+4', Mingo V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Arenteiro
38.4%

Draw
30.6%

Real Madrid Castilla
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	2.94 ↑ (2.6)	8.9% (10.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Arenteiro (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arenteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Arenteiro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Madrid Castilla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Arenteiro won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Arenteiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Arenteiro?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:

04.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Arenteiro 2:0

Latest results of Arenteiro

28.02.2026 Ourense CF - Arenteiro 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Arenteiro - Tenerife 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Talavera de la Reina - Arenteiro 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Arenteiro - Real Avilés 6:3 ✺

30.01.2026 Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

01.03.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B 2:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Pontevedra - Real Madrid Castilla 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B 1:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	35	21	10	4	57:20	37	73
2	Celta Vigo B	35	17	10	8	56:44	12	61
3	Zamora	35	16	10	9	49:38	11	58
4	Real Madrid B	35	16	8	11	55:43	12	56
5	Pontevedra	35	13	15	7	43:26	17	54
6	Ponferradina	35	14	9	12	38:32	6	51
7	Barakaldo	35	13	12	10	44:36	8	51
8	Unionistas	35	13	10	12	47:45	2	49
9	AD Merida	34	13	9	12	44:47	-3	48
10	Racing Club Ferrol	35	13	8	14	38:43	-5	47
11	Arenas Getxo	35	14	5	16	41:51	-10	47
12	Lugo	34	11	13	10	32:37	-5	46
13	Ath Bilbao B	34	12	9	13	34:38	-4	45
14	Real Aviles	35	11	10	14	51:58	-7	43
15	CF Talavera	35	10	9	16	35:44	-9	39
16	Ourense CF	34	9	11	14	38:40	-2	38
17	Guadalajara	35	9	10	16	39:54	-15	37
18	Osasuna B	35	9	9	17	25:39	-14	36
19	Cacereno	34	7	14	13	31:45	-14	35
20	Arenteiro	34	6	9	19	29:46	-17	27

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