Barakaldo vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
152
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
152
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Dufur U. (Own goal),
  • 32', Pena A. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Perez E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pena A. , Gorostidi A. ,
  • 58', de Jesus B. 🟨,
  • 61', Noriega J. , Gimenez A. ,
  • 61', Escobar A. , Gelardo A. ,
  • 70', Alvaro J. , Dacosta R. ,
  • 74', Tejera S. , Carballo D. ,
  • 76', Galarza A. , Mandiang S. ,
  • 76', Munoz I. , Valino A. ,
  • 82', Molina E. , Huidobro J. ,
  • 85', Gimenez A. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, San Bartolome V. ,
  • 90+3', Perez E. , Torra M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
37%
Draw
30.8%
Ferrol
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 30.8% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 31.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Barakaldo - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.57)
    2.91
    (3.01)
    2.82
    (2.81)
    9.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Ferrol were as follows:
    05.12.2024 Barakaldo - Ferrol 1:2
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    15.11.2025 Osasuna B - Barakaldo 2:0
    09.11.2025 Barakaldo - Ponferradina 0:0
    31.10.2025 Lugo - Barakaldo 2:2
    24.10.2025 Barakaldo - Tenerife 2:0
    18.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo 1:1
    Latest results of Ferrol
    16.11.2025 Ferrol - Zamora 1:0
    08.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ferrol 0:2
    01.11.2025 Ferrol - Tenerife 0:2
    28.10.2025 Langreo - Ferrol 0:1
    25.10.2025 Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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