Leonesa vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Revilla A. 🟨,
  • 26', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 28', Jelbat A. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Samanes S. ,
  • 40', Maestre S. , Barri ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Txoperena U. , Santiago P. ,
  • 69', Samanes S. , Presa K. ,
  • 69', Justo M. , Escobar A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Barri ,
  • 76', Molina E. , Naveira U. ,
  • 76', Valino A. , Isuskiza V. ,
  • 77', Calderon C. 🟨,
  • 83', Bicho , Lanchi ,
  • 83', Calderon C. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 83', Ortega G. 🟨,
  • 87', Jelbat A. , Bilbao L. ,
  • 87', Huidobro J. , Martinez J. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
58.9%
Draw
25.2%
Barakaldo
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 25.4% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Leonesa - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.59)
    3.69
    (3.48)
    5.73
    (5.68)
    8.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Leonesa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Barakaldo were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Barakaldo - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    05.04.2025 Leonesa - Arenteiro 1:0
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    03.05.2025 Barakaldo - Amorebieta 2:0
    19.04.2025 Barakaldo - Sestao 2:3
    12.04.2025 Osasuna B - Barakaldo 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife29196450:173363
    2Celta Vigo B29149644:36851
    3Ath Bilbao B29128931:31044
    4Barakaldo291111738:29944
    5Pontevedra281013532:201243
    6Ponferradina291271031:24743
    7Zamora291110838:33543
    8Real Madrid B291271040:38243
    9Lugo291012728:28042
    10Racing Club Ferrol291261134:33142
    11AD Merida291181038:39-141
    12Unionistas291081138:39-138
    13Arenas Getxo281051332:39-735
    14Real Aviles29971341:49-834
    15Ourense CF29891231:33-233
    16Guadalajara29881331:42-1132
    17CF Talavera29871430:39-931
    18Cacereno296121127:38-1130
    19Arenteiro29681526:37-1126
    20Osasuna B29591518:34-1624

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation