Leonesa vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Leonesa - Barakaldo
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Revilla A. 🟨,
  • 26', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 28', Jelbat A. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Samanes S. ,
  • 40', Maestre S. , Barri ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Txoperena U. , Santiago P. ,
  • 69', Samanes S. , Presa K. ,
  • 69', Justo M. , Escobar A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Barri ,
  • 76', Molina E. , Naveira U. ,
  • 76', Valino A. , Isuskiza V. ,
  • 77', Calderon C. 🟨,
  • 83', Bicho , Lanchi ,
  • 83', Calderon C. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 83', Ortega G. 🟨,
  • 87', Jelbat A. , Bilbao L. ,
  • 87', Huidobro J. , Martinez J. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
58.9%
Draw
25.2%
Barakaldo
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 25.4% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Leonesa - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.59)
    3.69
    (3.48)
    5.73
    (5.68)
    8.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Leonesa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Barakaldo were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Barakaldo - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    05.04.2025 Leonesa - Arenteiro 1:0
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    03.05.2025 Barakaldo - Amorebieta 2:0
    19.04.2025 Barakaldo - Sestao 2:3
    12.04.2025 Osasuna B - Barakaldo 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife961216:61019
    2Racing Club Ferrol852112:7517
    3Celta Vigo B842210:6414
    4Barakaldo935111:8314
    5Real Aviles842215:14114
    6Real Madrid B840410:10012
    7Guadalajara933310:11-112
    8Ponferradina932410:9111
    9Lugo83236:5111
    10Cacereno92529:9011
    11Pontevedra83238:9-111
    12Arenas Getxo932411:14-311
    13Osasuna B82426:7-110
    14Merida AD931510:15-510
    15CF Talavera82338:9-19
    16Zamora82338:9-19
    17Arenteiro82337:8-19
    18Unionistas83058:10-29
    19Ath Bilbao B82337:9-29
    20Ourense CF90545:12-75

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation