Leonesa vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Revilla A. 🟨,
  • 26', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 28', Jelbat A. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Samanes S. ,
  • 40', Maestre S. , Barri ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Txoperena U. , Santiago P. ,
  • 69', Samanes S. , Presa K. ,
  • 69', Justo M. , Escobar A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Barri ,
  • 76', Molina E. , Naveira U. ,
  • 76', Valino A. , Isuskiza V. ,
  • 77', Calderon C. 🟨,
  • 83', Bicho , Lanchi ,
  • 83', Calderon C. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 83', Ortega G. 🟨,
  • 87', Jelbat A. , Bilbao L. ,
  • 87', Huidobro J. , Martinez J. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
58.9%
Draw
25.2%
Barakaldo
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 25.4% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Leonesa - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.59)
    3.69
    (3.48)
    5.73
    (5.68)
    8.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Leonesa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Barakaldo were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Barakaldo - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    05.04.2025 Leonesa - Arenteiro 1:0
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    03.05.2025 Barakaldo - Amorebieta 2:0
    19.04.2025 Barakaldo - Sestao 2:3
    12.04.2025 Osasuna B - Barakaldo 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation