Estudiantes La Plata vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
18/07/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
66.4%
Draw
21.4%
Barcelona Guayaquil
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 23.6% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 23.3% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.5)
    4.29
    (3.9)
    7.5
    (6.08)
    7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 65%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Barcelona Guayaquil is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estudiantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Estudiantes is certain favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    11.07.2023 Barcelona Guayaquil - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta1 : 2
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion0 : 1
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso2 : 0
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar2 : 1
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.1 : 0
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo1 : 0
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas1 : 0
    8CaracasMetropolitanos1 : 0
    9U. De ChilePalestino1 : 2
    10CobresalA. Italiano1 : 2
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios1 : 3
    12America De CaliBucaramanga2 : 1
    13IndependienteGuabira1 : 0
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo3 : 0
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad3 : 0
    16OrenseMacara0 : 1