Estudiantes La Plata vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil
Result
4:0
18/07/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
66.4%
Draw
21.4%
Barcelona Guayaquil
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 23.6% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 23.3% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.5)
    4.29
    (3.9)
    7.5
    (6.08)
    7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 65%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Barcelona Guayaquil is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estudiantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Estudiantes is certain favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    11.07.2023 Barcelona Guayaquil - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2