Estudiantes La Plata vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
18/07/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
66.4%
Draw
21.4%
Barcelona Guayaquil
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 23.6% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 23.3% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.5)
    4.29
    (3.9)
    7.5
    (6.08)
    7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Barcelona Guayaquil is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estudiantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Estudiantes is certain favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    11.07.2023 Barcelona Guayaquil - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Macara32104:137
    2Tigre31113:214
    3America De Cali31113:4-14
    4Alianza Atl30122:5-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano32104:137
    2Juventud31116:334
    3Puerto Cabello31022:7-53
    4Atletico-MG31023:4-13


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo32103:037
    2O'Higgins32014:226
    3Millonarios31111:2-14
    4Boston River30030:4-40


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Lorenzo31204:225
    2Dep. Cuenca31111:2-14
    3Recoleta30302:203
    4Santos30212:3-12


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ32107:347
    2Caracas31203:215
    3Racing Club31116:514
    4Independiente30031:7-60


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City32014:226
    2Gremio31111:104
    3Dep. Riestra31112:204
    4Palestino30210:2-22


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vasco31114:224
    2A. Italiano31113:4-14
    3Olimpia Asuncion31112:3-14
    4Barracas Central30301:103


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32103:127
    2Carabobo32013:126
    3Bragantino31023:4-13
    4Blooming30123:6-31

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)