Result
2:0
01/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 15
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/441) | 82% (340/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/441) | 82% (340/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 49% (29/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (73/97) | 54% (44/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Montenegro B. ⚽, Ciccioli U. (A),
- 42', Souza de Almeida L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Oyola B. 🟨,
- 45+2', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Chala A. ↓, Vargas W. ↑,
- 61', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
- 61', Cano L. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
- 61', Souza de Almeida L. ↓, Jesus Trindade ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ⚽, Ciccioli U. (A),
- 69', Carcelen Carabali M. A. 🟨,
- 70', Corozo J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 70', Oyola B. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 72', Arroyo D. 🟨,
- 80', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 80', Jaramilo R. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 88', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
46.8% | Draw
27.5% | Barcelona Guayaquil
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.06) |
3.4 ↑
(3.29) |
3.55 ↑
(3.47) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1.
- Aucas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aucas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against SD Aucas?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
02.11.2024
SD Aucas
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:1
12.05.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
SD Aucas
1:1
07.10.2023
SD Aucas
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:2
07.05.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
SD Aucas
5:1
13.11.2022
SD Aucas
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
