SD Aucas vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 15
Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	0.59
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
85% (376/441)	82% (340/414)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.36	0.16
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
10	5
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
12	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
22	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
4	12
Passes
85% (376/441)	82% (340/414)
Long passes
47% (22/47)	49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
75% (73/97)	54% (44/81)
Crosses
56% (10/18)	21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	0.92
Throw-ins
14	16
Fouls
12	4
Tackles
67% (12/18)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
48	50
Clearances
27	11
Interceptions
13	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.16	1.36
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Montenegro B. ⚽, Ciccioli U. (A),
42', Souza de Almeida L. 🟨,
45+2', Oyola B. 🟨,
45+2', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chala A. ↓, Vargas W. ↑,
61', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
61', Cano L. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
61', Souza de Almeida L. ↓, Jesus Trindade ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ⚽, Ciccioli U. (A),
69', Carcelen Carabali M. A. 🟨,
70', Corozo J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
70', Oyola B. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
72', Arroyo D. 🟨,
80', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
80', Jaramilo R. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
88', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

SD Aucas
46.8%

Draw
27.5%

Barcelona Guayaquil
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.06)	3.4 ↑ (3.29)	3.55 ↑ (3.47)	7.7% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1.
Aucas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Aucas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Barcelona Guayaquil?

SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against SD Aucas?

Barcelona Guayaquil has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:

02.11.2024 SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:1

12.05.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas 1:1

07.10.2023 SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:2

07.05.2023 Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas 5:1

13.11.2022 SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:0

Latest results of SD Aucas

24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 SD Aucas - Manta 1:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:1 ✺

05.05.2025 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 2:0 ✺

27.04.2025 SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil

27.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1 ✺

23.05.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca 0:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec 2:0 ✺

14.05.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:2 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Libertad	27	11	9	7	40:34	6	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	27	6	11	10	25:40	-15	29
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )