Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (437/516) | 76% (258/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (437/516) | 76% (258/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 31% (15/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (91/133) | 67% (50/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 45% (9/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Rivero O. ⚽, Valiente J. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Segura E. ⚽, Mina A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Olaya V. ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
- 59', Pepinos E. 🟨,
- 62', Arroyo D. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
- 75', Valiente J. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
- 78', Miranda B. ↓, Rolon C. ↑,
- 78', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
- 81', Corozo J. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 82', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Garcia Y. ↑,
- 88', Mina A. ↓, Spina A. L. ↑,
- 90+6', Resendez E. ↓, Cabezas J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
62.4% | Draw
23% | SD Aucas
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona Guayaquil's performance.SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Aucas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona Guayaquil that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Aucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.86) |
4.33 ↑
(3.4) |
6.96 ↑
(4.1) |
1.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Barcelona is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
- Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.
- Barcelona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aucas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Barcelona is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against SD Aucas?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
SD Aucas has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas were as follows:
01.06.2025
SD Aucas
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
2:0
02.11.2024
SD Aucas
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:1
12.05.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
SD Aucas
1:1
07.10.2023
SD Aucas
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:2
07.05.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
SD Aucas
5:1
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
