Result
2:3
31/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 27
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (314/372) | 84% (369/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (314/372) | 84% (369/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 53% (24/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (54/81) | 69% (68/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Valiente J. ⚽, Vallecilla G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 1 - 1, Alonso M. ⚽, Palacios B. (A),
- 70', Oyola B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 70', Alonso M. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
- 70', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 76', Valencia E. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 76', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
- 80', Valiente J. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Diaz M. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 87', 2 - 2, Campi G. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
- 89', Campi G. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Fajardo J. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 90+2', Arreaga X. 🟨,
- 90+3', Fajardo J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Anangono G. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mrxjbwn5
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
49.9% | Draw
27.1% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.85) |
3.42 ↓
(3.53) |
3.97 ↓
(3.97) |
8.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
11.05.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
2:2
25.08.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:0
01.05.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
03.12.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
18.06.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
