Barcelona Guayaquil vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador

31/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil).

Liga Pro - Round 27
Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	2.09
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
13	19
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
4	10
Passes
84% (314/372)	84% (369/438)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	2.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	2.08
Total shots
13	19
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
8	12
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
4	10
Touches in opposition box
25	25
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
6	12
Passes
84% (314/372)	84% (369/438)
Long passes
51% (23/45)	53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
67% (54/81)	69% (68/99)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.47	0.97
Throw-ins
15	9
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
50% (7/14)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
35	43
Clearances
27	17
Interceptions
5	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
2.08	0.95
Goals prevented
-0.92	-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Valiente J. ⚽, Vallecilla G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, Alonso M. ⚽, Palacios B. (A),
70', Oyola B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
70', Alonso M. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
70', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
76', Valencia E. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
76', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
80', Valiente J. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Diaz M. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
87', 2 - 2, Campi G. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
89', Campi G. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Fajardo J. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
90+2', Arreaga X. 🟨,
90+3', Fajardo J. 🟨,
90+5', Anangono G. ↓, Troya R. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mrxjbwn5

Chances of winning

Barcelona Guayaquil
49.9%

Draw
27.1%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.85)	3.42 ↓ (3.53)	3.97 ↓ (3.97)	8.6% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Barcelona Guayaquil has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Barcelona Guayaquil?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:

11.05.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:2

25.08.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:0

01.05.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1

03.12.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1

18.06.2023 Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2

Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil

28.08.2025 Cuenca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará 0:2 ✺

10.08.2025 El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

24.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario 2:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Alianza Lima 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

13.08.2025 Alianza Lima - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	28	18	8	2	53:21	32	62
2	LDU Quito	28	13	9	6	43:26	17	48
3	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
4	U. Catolica	28	11	10	7	52:36	16	43
5	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
6	Libertad	28	11	9	8	40:35	5	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	28	6	12	10	26:41	-15	30
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	28	6	6	16	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV