Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (339/399) | 82% (252/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (339/399) | 82% (252/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (33/52) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (93/129) | 57% (28/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Cortez Casierra G. J. ⚽, Oyola B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Cacciabue J. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
- 46', Rivero O. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Londono A. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 59', 2 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 62', Solano C. ↓, Corozo J. ↑,
- 62', Oyola B. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
- 72', Campi G. 🟨,
- 74', Diaz M. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 74', Palacios B. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 76', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
- 76', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 88', Castillo Segura B. D. 🟨,
- 90', Canga L. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Caicedo F. (Pen),
- 90+2', Londono A. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 90+5', Anangono G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
47.7% | Draw
26.7% | Barcelona Guayaquil
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-2%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.93) |
3.49 ↑
(3.39) |
3.67 ↓
(3.81) |
7%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
- Uni Católica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barcelona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.
- Uni Católica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
25.08.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:0
01.05.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
03.12.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
18.06.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
