Vinotinto vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil
Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 26
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.75
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
62% (108/173)91% (489/539)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.93
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
62% (108/173)91% (489/539)
Long passes
39% (24/61)76% (51/67)
Passes in final third
47% (38/81)82% (112/137)
Crosses
47% (8/17)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.89
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1112
Tackles
80% (4/5)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.930.55
Goals prevented
-0.070.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Luna D. , Ibarra R. ,
  • 69', Julio M. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 69', Oyola B. , Gomez J. ,
  • 70', Valiente J. , Parrales M. ,
  • 81', Ushina K. , Melo A. ,
  • 82', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. , Arroyo D. ,
  • 90+2', Mina A. , Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ,
  • 90+2', Monti R. , Lugo J. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 1, Parrales M. , Corozo J. (A),
  • 90+5', Parrales M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vinotinto
27%
Draw
29.4%
Barcelona Guayaquil
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 27.2% 51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7% 26.6% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vinotinto's performance.
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vinotinto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (4.38)
    3.14
    (3.4)
    2.12
    (1.79)
    8.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Barcelona will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • Vinotinto has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Barcelona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vinotinto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Barcelona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Vinotinto 2:1
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    14.08.2025 Gualaceo - Vinotinto 2:1
    04.08.2025 Delfín - Vinotinto 3:3
    26.07.2025 Vinotinto - Orense 0:1
    Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Aucas301181138:41-341
    10Macara309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )