Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (367/428) | 77% (235/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (367/428) | 77% (235/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (26/43) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (106/140) | 58% (39/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Gomez L. 🟨,
- 43', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 45', Arreaga X. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Cortez Casierra G. J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mario Pineida ↓, Chala A. ↑,
- 48', Monti R. 🟨,
- 49', 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Luna D. ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 1, Cortez Casierra G. J. ⚽, Chala A. (A),
- 71', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 71', Souza de Almeida L. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 71', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 73', Caicedo J. ↓, Mera F. ↑,
- 83', Gomez L. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 89', Aguirre A. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 89', Arreaga X. ↓, Campi G. ↑,
- 89', Larotonda C. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 90+6', Rivero O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
59.8% | Draw
24.3% | Vinotinto
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.65) |
3.82 ↑
(3.75) |
5.84 ↑
(4.95) |
7.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vinotinto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Barcelona is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Vinotinto?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Vinotinto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Vinotinto were as follows:
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 43 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Aucas | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 34 |
| 8 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
