Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 26
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 25% | 75% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (108/173) | 91% (489/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (108/173) | 91% (489/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 76% (51/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (38/81) | 82% (112/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Luna D. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 69', Julio M. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 69', Oyola B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 70', Valiente J. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 81', Ushina K. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 82', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 90+2', Mina A. ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,
- 90+2', Monti R. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, Parrales M. ⚽, Corozo J. (A),
- 90+5', Parrales M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
27% | Draw
29.4% | Barcelona Guayaquil
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vinotinto's performance.Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vinotinto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↓
(4.38) |
3.14 ↓
(3.4) |
2.12 ↑
(1.79) |
8.6%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Barcelona will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Vinotinto has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Barcelona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vinotinto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Barcelona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Vinotinto?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
04.05.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Vinotinto
2:1
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
